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Folding runner runner trips OTR

10 Posts
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vuciitis
Joined: 19.02.2011

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

BTN: $17.74 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 12
SB: $12.58 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 2,8, Hands: 257
BB: $6.76 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 0,8, Hands: 96
UTG: $11.01 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 11,5, Hands: 158
Hero (MP): $10.05 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 4, AF: 2,5, Hands: 31055
CO: $16.84 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 21, 3B: 0, AF: 1,5, Hands: 29

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with Q :diamond: A :heart:
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.70) 9 :heart: 2 :diamond: 4 :spade: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.43, SB calls $0.43

Turn: ($1.56) Q :spade: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.96, SB raises to $2.80, Hero calls $1.84

River: ($7.16) Q :heart: (2 players)
SB bets $9.05, Hero ???

We need only 32% equity OTR, but i doubt we have it...


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9 replies
Castle93
Joined: 06.06.2011

Wow sick spot. I think it might have to be a fold, I think he only does this with a FH. I don't think he's c/r the turn with just a Queen unless he''s pretty argo. Out of curiosity, what did you decide?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Villain stats are solid. I agree we are facing a FH here.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

He is probably protecting sets on the turn which he tried to slowplay on the flop. He doesn't look like someone who would raise Qx there and I don't think that he is bluffing often enough. I think we can even fold the turn.


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zoty79
Joined: 31.03.2010

Hi,
call flop, c/r Turn is always a very strong hand at NL10. Just fold your hand , as long as you don´t have Top 2pair.


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Tinsley15
Joined: 18.07.2013

One question. Is this mandatory cbet here vs 21/19 from sb? It would be other thing that we are like opening from late position. We are opening wider he is defending wider, so our cbet is going to fold more of his hands. What is he going to fold when we bet?


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zoty79
Joined: 31.03.2010

We really don´t know, how his preflocallingrange looks like. But he could fold 33,55,66,77,88,JTs, AQs, and some AK, if he has a few in his range.


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Tinsley15
Joined: 18.07.2013

he is going to peel with 77-88 one street at least i guess..and maybe JTs if fe has it in his range. We are blocking some stuff, maybe this is spot to delay our cbet?


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zoty79
Joined: 31.03.2010

Yeah, you can do it either way. Check back, and bet the Turn, or bet the flop and bet the Turn. Both lines have the advantage, that you would do the same with you bluffs. So to add in Valuhands in this spots is an advantage.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Flop is low and he is not folding that many hands.


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