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Bluff in 3-bet pot

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Lathdari
Joined: 07.10.2014

This seems like a great spot for a 3-bet against a loose ORer. C-bet is standard on this flop. When there is a second K on the turn, I feel that if I don't bet, I'm admitting I was bluffing OTF and I stand almost no chance of getting anything from the hand. Whereas if I continue the bluff, it will be +EV provided he folds at least a third of the time. Precisely because the flop c-bet is standard, he can be calling PPs OTF which I expect to fold to a further turn bet. Is line ok?

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players

CO: $5.92 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 3.8, Hands: 39
BTN: $10.10 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 11, AF: 0.9, Hands: 104
Hero (SB): $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.8, Hands: 12491
BB: $10.15 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 103
UTG: $13.60 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 1.8, Hands: 556
UTG+1: $28.38 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 3.0, Hands: 36
MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 2.5, Hands: 65

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with Q :club: A :heart:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.40, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.40, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1

Flop: ($2.90) 8 :heart: K :spade: 3 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.38, UTG+1 calls $1.38

Turn: ($5.66) K :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.70, UTG+1 raises to $25.60, Hero folds

Final Pot: $11.06
UTG+1 wins $10.56
(Rake: $-22.40)


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6 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Yes, would've done the same line as well. UTG is a loose player so hands like K-J, K-Q were definitely in its range. He could have had 9-9+ as well so a bet on the turn would have made it less likely he has a K. However, by raising it, he shows clearly he doesn't want you to call. Maybe he thinks you could have had A-K or AA and doesn't want you to get your FH. I think both your lines were well played.

Hope this helps. Good luck at the tables!


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sulilolz
Joined: 12.05.2012

Hi, his.ranges is to strong to when he raise you here, you can have KQ Ak.
When he do that he have full housse.

Why cbetting his.correct? You have more K than him in you r range, and make fold a lot of Pp with 2barell

Why 2barell is wrong here?
Cause that same range never give up on a second king, and we have 2over and Aq have a good showdon.

On river I X,b with all card, exept A or Q I will bet 1/2 ti value Pp. 99+

Hope I help.you with my bad English :)


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Aerox232
Joined: 28.04.2011

K is big part of our range and big part of hes, i think cbet is OK , but after he called cbet, i think we should check turn,and if he bet thet fold!


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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

X/f on the king is better than betting, he will continue w big part of his range on this card.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would rather call this hand preflop because I think it's too strong for bluffing. I would 3bet only if would have a read that he is folding to 3bets too much. As played, I don't like the turn cbet because he would believe us even less that we have a K.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

No need to base your preflop decision on 36 hands sample. AQ can be a decent call option.
We are in a 3 bet pot, he called our flop cbet, our K combos decline and we fire again... does not look right to me.


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