This seems like a great spot for a 3-bet against a loose ORer. C-bet is standard on this flop. When there is a second K on the turn, I feel that if I don't bet, I'm admitting I was bluffing OTF and I stand almost no chance of getting anything from the hand. Whereas if I continue the bluff, it will be +EV provided he folds at least a third of the time. Precisely because the flop c-bet is standard, he can be calling PPs OTF which I expect to fold to a further turn bet. Is line ok?
Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
CO: $5.92 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 3.8, Hands: 39
BTN: $10.10 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 11, AF: 0.9, Hands: 104
Hero (SB): $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.8, Hands: 12491
BB: $10.15 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 103
UTG: $13.60 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 1.8, Hands: 556
UTG+1: $28.38 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 3.0, Hands: 36
MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 2.5, Hands: 65
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with Q
A ![]()
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.40, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.40, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1
Flop: ($2.90) 8
K
3
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.38, UTG+1 calls $1.38
Turn: ($5.66) K
(2 players)
Hero bets $2.70, UTG+1 raises to $25.60, Hero folds
Final Pot: $11.06
UTG+1 wins $10.56
(Rake: $-22.40)