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Two pairs against bet river

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Polezi
Joined: 13.08.2009

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $11.77 (117.7 bb) VPIP: 23, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 1,7, Hands: 753
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $16.38 (163.8 bb)
MP: $10.69 (106.9 bb)
Hero (CO): $22.12 (221.2 bb)
BTN: $10.50 (105 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 J
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, BTN folds, SB calls $0.20, BB folds

Flop: ($0.60) 2 3 J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.28, SB calls $0.28

Turn: ($1.16) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.83, SB raises to $2.40, Hero calls $1.57

River: ($5.96) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $4, Hero calls $4

Reads villain is a donkey, 88 and JJ I have blockers, good call?


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7 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

What has villain done so you think he is a donkey? His stats look pretty solid to me. What can villain have here? Would he x/r OTT as a bluff? 22,33 are also possible, maybe A♥:4♥:, A♠:4♠:? I think we are beat and villain is holding 33, but it would be very hard for me to let 2pair go at the table.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

23/14 is somewhat not solid at all.
We cannot fold there with top2p and a fd.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Ofc we call OTT but shouldn't we fold OTR?


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I may have found a raise or C/R OTT. Villain's stats shows he calls a lot of hands IP & OOP. I would put JJ+ in his 3Bet range but small pockets in his calling range. Not sure how aggressive he plays OTF compared to OTT. If he plays passive OTF, you may are beat by a set indeed (which would be an unprofitable play IMO since effective stacks are not that high). However, you are drawing pretty hard together with 2 pair. I would put pressure on my opponent. You are not bluff catching since you have a lot of equity here and many hands your opponent has, you have beat and thus getting value seems to me a good strategy. Good thing is, you leave no choice OTR anymore with a shove.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables!


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by Polezi
...
Reads villain is a donkey, 88 and JJ I have blockers, good call?

As played, yes. No deep thinking required.
As for the turn, Hesticus post is the nuts.


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Aerox232
Joined: 28.04.2011

22,33 9Th, +some missed draws, kj A8

most of the time he will have nuts, but i guesss top 2 is call against fish


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CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

You should make better reads than donkey..

Anyway, it's hard to give up on turn. You have over 700 hands, so you should use some river stats that there might be. If he bets there like never or never raises turn, this could be a fold.


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