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Would you make the call?

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diminem99
Joined: 06.04.2015

Hi everyone,

This hand might seem very standard for most of you but I am having a hard time figuring out if this is a call on the river or not.
The fact that he checks the turn makes me think he has no ace or one with a weak kicker and wants to control the pot.
On the river I am beating small to mid pocket pairs and 5s and 6s.

What do you think? Do we catch a bluff often enough here to profitably call?

PokerStars - $0.44+$0.06|25/50 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 86.76 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (BTN): 60.2 BB
SB: 45.96 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
BB: 41.24 BB (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
UTG: 1.2 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
MP: 34.64 BB (VPIP: 6.67, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♠ J♣

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) A♦ 6♠ 5♥
BB checks, Hero bets 4.32 BB, BB calls 4.32 BB

Turn: (15.14 BB, 2 players) 4♠
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (15.14 BB, 2 players) 4♦
BB bets 11 BB, Hero ???


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3 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Player looks passive to me and without any reads I don't think he will bluff often here.
So I would fold here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

He is OOP, and when you bet the flop, he doesn't usually have to donk turn. He could have sets, any ace, even straight draw. Most of these hands he won't donk on turn, either. So you shouldn't assume that he doesn't have them. I myself would be checking this flop with hands like A7 versus opener, and then bet river when he checks.

River is a fold here, seems like a passive guy and he bets quite big - rarely a bluff.


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diminem99
Joined: 06.04.2015

Thanks for the analysis!


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