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NL25 SH AQ TP counterfeited on R, small value bet?

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caltabiano
Joined: 09.03.2007

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 103.96 BB
BB: 107.28 BB
UTG: 79.36 BB
MP: 287.4 BB
Hero (CO): 121.6 BB
BTN: 110.28 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♠

UTG calls 1 BB, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 4 BB, fold

Flop: (12.4 BB, 2 players) 3♣ 6♥ Q♦
UTG checks, Hero bets 8 BB, UTG calls 8 BB

Turn: (28.4 BB, 2 players) 7♦
UTG checks, Hero bets 16 BB, UTG calls 16 BB

River: (60.4 BB, 2 players) K♦
UTG checks, Hero bets 17.6 BB, UTG raises to 50.36 BB and is all-in, fold

Spoiler

UTG wins 91.28 BB
Rake paid 4.32 BB

No stats on villain, but you can see he doesn't have a full stack, and I was new to the table, so hadn't really seen how he plays.

I decided to value bet small on the river, because I'm pretty certain he calls a Q. What do you guys think? Check back because of the K, bet small, or just make a standard size value bet?

I don't really like checking back, because I think there's value to be had, but maybe I'm wrong, I don't know. =)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

you should check back here, you need around 70% equity to bet with your current bet size


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