99 3bet pot OOP

I think this is a tight one against relatively unknown. I doubt they are not bluffing here enough of the time to get a call, but on the contrary, K is a perfect card here to make a bluff as it seems on turn that he doesn't have anything.

E: He could have hands like JJ/QQ (TT) on turn and he tries to slowplay, though most players won't 3-bet TT here.

I agree with CPallo. Tho, TT-AA he will continue betting.

I think villain is not bluffing often enough otr so fold is ok. Calling this pre is close, I think I would fold it. BTN should have pretty wide 3bet range and that folp really doesn't hit him so hard. Could we x/r this flop?

Originally posted by la55i
I think villain is not bluffing often enough otr so fold is ok. Calling this pre is close, I think I would fold it. BTN should have pretty wide 3bet range and that folp really doesn't hit him so hard. Could we x/r this flop?

I think by x/r we isolate ourselves against better range inflate the pot. So I think its not good. Only good is that we protect vs overs , but isnt that too big price? He already paid with his overs by betting.

On river I also think that he is not bluffing very often at this limit. He can put you on hand like 99, and he cannot be sure if you can fold it to such bet. PLus K hits his range well. Not always he will cbet flop with AK I guess, but he might.

even if he is bluffing enough, to be breakeven, we will win only 0. But since we are not sure and its more likely that he is not blufffin, we might end up making -EV call. So I guess we need to call if we assume he is bluffing really often in this spot, but default players are not doing so I guess.

Fold is good but he doesn't have QQ/JJ almost ever like some people said. Aggro player checking the turn is very very bad for you, he is having 7x/AA suuuuper often here.

I don't think he bluffs enough on the river, so I like the fold. Although K on the river is a great card for him to try to bluff. However, I still like the fold here.