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AK - Gutshot + 2nutflushdraw on turn.

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schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

Hello,

can we call Turn or should we have bet ourselves :

to call we need 30%
his range could be :

Equity Win Tie Card
Hand 1 39.93 % 39.93 % 0.00 % AhKs
Hand 2 60.07 % 60.07 % 0.00 % KQs, 98s, TT+, 77, KQo, 98o, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs

then I would have enough equity it seems.

SB: $23.53 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 8.93, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 56)
Hero (BB): $10.53
UTG: $10.00 (VPIP: 15.48, PFR: 11.58, 3Bet Preflop: 5.22, Hands: 729)
UTG+1: $21.44 (VPIP: 17.31, PFR: 14.04, 3Bet Preflop: 7.54, Hands: 526)
MP: $7.54 (VPIP: 30.37, PFR: 15.56, 3Bet Preflop: 4.92, Hands: 136)
MP+1: $10.00 (VPIP: 15.09, PFR: 9.53, 3Bet Preflop: 2.60, Hands: 1,146)
MP+2: $10.00 (VPIP: 17.10, PFR: 12.71, 3Bet Preflop: 5.63, Hands: 1,842)
CO: $10.30 (VPIP: 23.20, PFR: 16.49, 3Bet Preflop: 4.92, Hands: 196)
BTN: $10.00 (VPIP: 16.35, PFR: 13.22, 3Bet Preflop: 3.14, Hands: 1,102)

SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♥ K♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.00, CO calls $0.70

Flop: ($2.05, 2 players) J♠ T♦ 7♠
Hero bets $1.10, CO calls $1.10

Turn: ($4.25, 2 players) 5♠
Hero checks, CO bets $3.30, fold

Spoiler

CO wins $4.06

I think I might be giving up to soon on some hands...


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7 replies
Pistoleroo
Joined: 06.02.2015

When you cbet the flop you can't give up on turn when you get more equity. I would barrel turn again.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You need 30% and you have 39%. So as played this would be a call.
I would doublebarrel this since we improve our hand significantly.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Board hits villain hard. I am not convinced to cbet here, let alone double barrel...


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You are probably right about the flop cbet. But as played what should hero do OTT? Turn card is ok for us but if we check villain will bet it as a bluff pretty often too. The reason I would go with double barrel is that we have ok equity, we have ok fold equity, we can b/f and decide how much we want to pay. I wouldn't like to x/f to this card and x/c doesn't seem so good either. Let's get wild and x/shove?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What FE do you have? What hands that called flop will fold turn?
Let aside that flush arrived( and we do not draw to nuts)...


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Villain has many pocket pairs and broad way connectors. This was a x/c for me


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schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

Hello,

after rechecking villain probably doesn't have 98 and KQo in his 3 bet call range OOP so then range becomes more like this :

Equity Win Tie Card
Hand 1 24.60 % 24.60 % 0.00 % AhKs
Hand 2 75.40 % 75.40 % 0.00 % TT+, 77, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, KsQs

Also AJo or ATo with a A♠: won't be in his 3bet call range so his range looks strong.

Maybe c/c flop and c/c turn would be a good line to take here


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