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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

BB
27/19
AF:10
3b:7
cb F 3b: 100(3)
River Agg%: 42
148h.

I don't fell good vs that river bet, because he should be trying to fold me 88-TT and other low pp's so his huge big bet doesn't make much sense to me as bluff. IMO it's mostly value sizing, but can I really fold here?

Other option is to lead myself, but I don't see much value in that, IMO he is betting turn w AJ, maybe he x KJs OTT if he 3b pre and we get value vs Qx anyway, because he should bet them and he can bluff too. The only good thing with leading is that we can pick up bet sizing ourselves.
Would you lead river?

Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2867623
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $25.12
Hero (SB): $65.95
BB: $147.16
UTG: $91.68
MP: $71.89
CO: $64.53

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with Q :heart: J :heart:
4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($9.00) 7 :club: 7 :spade: J :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4.38, Hero calls $4.38

Turn: ($17.76) 2 :heart: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

River: ($17.76) Q :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $15.09, Hero ???


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4 replies
inceptioner
Joined: 23.05.2012

Imo x/c river is the best option. That sizing looks a bit weird but I think we need to call here.


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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

I hate to turn my hand into a bluffcatcher on the river, as I think I won't get enough bluffs from most players here. Therefore I'd rather bet/fold ~12$ myself. I think I nearly always have the best hand, I don't think he would often check back KK+ here, maybe some monsters to be tricky, but we block QQ/JJ very hard, so maybe some 7x.

As played, I'd call, because I don't see too many valuehands in his range, also I'm close to the top of mine, but I wouldn't be very happy...


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bonecore
Joined: 02.11.2009

i think i would lead river most of the time because we can get called by Jx and Qx

as played, our hand is strong enough to bluffcatch his big bet. (whatever he had it is worth taking a note)
i'm guessing he is a fancy player that plays nuts weird


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MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

Agree with the rest. I don't think x/c'ing the river (or even x/minr'ing it vs AQ) is too bad vs. aggressive guys. The only real hand he can call with if we bet OTR is AQ, or weirdly played KK+ (what I see betting the turn in >90% of cases).

But it's probably the best to just bet big and hope he has some Qx he can bluffcatch with :)


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