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97o OTB vs. x/r on dry flop

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MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $44.13
SB: $40.90 (VPIP: 28.16, PFR: 18.45, 3Bet Preflop: 6.82, Hands: 209)
BB: $25.49 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 44)
UTG: $29.14 (VPIP: 26.84, PFR: 21.84, 3Bet Preflop: 7.23, Hands: 396)
MP: $34.22 (VPIP: 17.02, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 48)
CO: $24.40 (VPIP: 12.24, PFR: 9.18, 3Bet Preflop: 10.81, Hands: 100)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 7♦ 9♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, fold

Flop: ($1.25, 2 players) 9♦ 2♥ 5♣
SB checks, Hero bets $0.71, SB raises to $2.30, Hero calls $1.59

Turn: ($5.85, 2 players) A♥
SB bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50

River: ($18.85, 2 players) 5♦
SB checks, Hero checks

Relevant stats on Villain:
Flop AF: 1.10
Flop x/r: 0%

Notetracker:
[P] 3Bet Blind vs steals w/{QQ} (1)
[P] 3Bet range {QQ} (1)
[P] 4Bet+ range {ATo} (1)
[P] Attempted Steal then 4Bet {ATo} (1)
[P] Called 2Bet from blinds range {AJs,A8s,K7s,Q4s,52s,KTo,QTo} (7)
[P] Called 3Bets out of position with {55} (1)
[T] Called two 1/2 Pot or greater barrels w/draw (1)
[T] Played turn draw aggressively (1)

Overall he seems very passive. But then, he also 4bet ATo before. OTF his valuerange is very narrow, only 22/55 really make sense to me. I assume he'd 3bet TT/JJ pre. So I guess folding 97o here would be terrible. OTT the A looks scary, but I rather see him calling all his Ax and the card really doesn't improve his raising range. That's why I decided to call again, even vs. that sizing, probably folding the river if he bets again because he can barely assume any FE vs our turncallingrange.

What do you guys think about his range, my assumptions and how to play this hand? Would you fold the turn because he pots, or do you still see enough bluffs in a range of an average NL25-reg?


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2 replies
VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

He might play hand like J♥:T♥:, 6♥:7♥: or J♥:Q♥: this way. Sometimes he might show up with some 34s or 22, maybe A2s. Those are all reasonable hands that I see. I would have played it the same way.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Villain is passive andwhen he wakesup and starts raising- you should fold. There are hands that beat us, even with better kicker.


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