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[NL20] (UTG vs. MP) Doublebarreling dangerous flop and hiting flush on the river.

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msnek
Joined: 01.10.2008

Villain was 28/16 over 110 hands with 30WTSD% when saw flop. I guess it is quite a usuall spot. But I wonder how would you all play this hand. How do you like my cbet on the flop and my double barrel ? And what sizing would you go for on the river ? Thanks !

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $11.72 (58.6 bb)
BB: $25.70 (128.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $20 (100 bb)
CO: $18.47 (92.4 bb)
BTN: $20.93 (104.7 bb)

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $11.72 (58.6 bb)
BB: $25.70 (128.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $20 (100 bb)
CO: $18.47 (92.4 bb)
BTN: $20.93 (104.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A T
Hero raises to $0.60, CO calls $0.60, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.50) 8 3 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $1.05, CO calls $1.05

Turn: ($3.60) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $2.52, CO calls $2.52

River: ($8.64) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.32,


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2 replies
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Villain is very likely a fish, which makes all the difference here I think. Turn is actually marginal, I think you will see very very few folds from fishy villain, so maybe check.

River I like checking, villain will bet Qx and you give him the option of bluffing busted draws. You only loose money maybe to 8x type hands but it's not even a given he will call 3 times with that.


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MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

We have different options vs. a fish on the turn, fortunately:

1) Betting a usual size (like you did) with no foldequity and the chance of getting raised by Qx. The Problem is also that we can't really call a river bet if he calls, we miss and he bets.
2) Betting a small sizing to draw and give ourselves the odds (still the chance he raises us with Qx, but also calls with worse)
3) X/f - probably too weak since our hand still has decent equity vs his range
4) x/c --> Probably my most favorable option here. He can still have plenty of :spade: draws, T9 and JT so that we can still be good on the river with our Ahigh. Thus, our equity should be enough, plus it's a bit less likely we see a lot of bluffs on the river.

As played I would either overbet the river, or x/r his bet 3x or 4x dependent on his sizing for max. profit. We give him the chance to bet his busted draws, and we see a bet from Qx most of the time anyways


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