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NL16 squeeze pot vs maniac fish, and aggressive reg

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Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $17.46 (109.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $36.94 (230.9 bb)
UTG: $16 (100 bb)
MP: $61.38 (383.6 bb)
CO: $12.80 (80 bb)
BTN: $9.09 (56.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with T T
UTG raises to $0.48, MP calls $0.48, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.40, UTG calls $1.92, MP calls $1.92

Flop: ($7.28) 5 6 2 (3 players)
Hero bets $4.63, UTG calls $4.63, MP calls $4.63

Turn: ($21.17) 7 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks

River: ($21.17) 3 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $8.97 and is all-in, 2 folds

Results:

Spoiler

$21.17 pot ($0.95 rake)
Final Board: 5 6 2 7 3
Hero mucked T T and lost (-$7.03 net)
UTG mucked and won $20.22 ($13.19 net)
MP mucked and lost (-$7.03 net)

I think the preflop squeeze was ok because of the fish?!
The reg cannot have sets here often since he wasn't deep as the fish. But of course I cannot exclude them from his range completely. So very often he will have suited broadways, 66-JJ. And there is the fish who can call a cbet with a lot of hands.
The turn was very bed for me I think from now x/f is ok. There is value in a bet against the fish, the problem is the reg sitting behind me.

Opponents:
UTG: 24/18/8,4
UTG R1: 15
Fold to 3bet: 33 (18)
4bet: 11
Fold to fcbet: 49
WTSD: 29
Aggr: 37,38,31
Turn bet vs missed cbet: 37 (27)

MP: 96/51/10.0 49 hand
Fold to fcbet: 8
Fold to tcbet: 0 (6)
WTSD: 36
Aggr: 38/48/26

I am not quite sure if I had that much statics about them at that time


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20 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I would flat call pre-flop in this situation, especially against whoever folds only 33% against 3Bet. You can't squeeze profitably here. I'd say it is not about that they are fish but whether you can squeeze profitably or solely inflate the pot.

As played, I would have played the streets the same. You are mostly up against high equity cards so fold seems reasonable.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

What range do you put utg on? What is he repping otr after checking turn?

Edit; mabye he can slowplay the nut flush because you dont have sets. And he can play JJ this way. OK fold otr.

As played it is OK.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

As we close the action preflop, I prefer just flatting.
As played, it is ok.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I'm not so sure about that squeeze pre. UTG doesn't fold to 3bets and MP is a fish, we will end up playing multiway.
I'm not so sure what UTG reps OTR after his turn check. Could he check JJ+ here sometimes to see if MP hit his flush?
I think that fold was ok but calling doesn't seem very terrible.


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You think a TT is not good enough for a squeeze? QQ-55, A5s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, AQo+, KQo: against a range like this I have 60%. I know that I am oop but still I am ahead of the regs range and way ahead of the fishes range. I would have just called with a 99 here, but I felt that a TT is good enough


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Here is a bit more realistic range: 88+,ATs+,KQs,JTs,AJo+,KQo

If we add the fish here, you have ok equity:

Reg 38.34% 37.41% 0.93% { 88+, ATs+, KQs, JTs, AJo+, KQo }
Hero 38.08% 37.52% 0.55% { TsTc }
Fish 23.59% 22.79% 0.80% { 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }

But since you are not going broke here, equity isn't everything. The playability of your hand is not so good. Any card higher than T and you are in trouble.

Sqeezing is not terrible but I would flat.


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You think the reg would just call with KK+? Also because of the fish imo he would call with more pp-s. I would do the same in this situation and I fold to 3bets more often then he does. I also think that these kind of fishes call with everything preflop, so I would assume a wider range then that


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Reg might call with KK+ to keep that fish in the pot but you are right, he would raise very often.
You can change the ranges. Doesn't matter much. If you go all-in pre flop and both villains call with those ranges, then it is good.
Playability of your hand is poor. You have 2 outs. Chance of seeing overcard on the flop with TT is 70%.


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What would you do with AKo in this situation?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by horvathr492
What would you do with AKo in this situation?

I would squeeze. It is also a high equity hand but its playability is better and we don't have to worry about overcards. It also has blockers. AKo and TT are very much different.


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AXSPIRAL
Joined: 06.03.2011

i agree with la55i. i think its not horribly wrong to squeeze with TT though.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Here is a bit more realistic range: 88+,ATs+,KQs,JTs,AJo+,KQo

If we add the fish here, you have ok equity:

Reg 38.34% 37.41% 0.93% { 88+, ATs+, KQs, JTs, AJo+, KQo }
Hero 38.08% 37.52% 0.55% { TsTc }
Fish 23.59% 22.79% 0.80% { 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }

But since you are not going broke here, equity isn't everything. The playability of your hand is not so good. Any card higher than T and you are in trouble.

Sqeezing is not terrible but I would flat.

Squeezing top6% is not a mistake at all. It is up to personal style.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by horvathr492
What would you do with AKo in this situation?

AK is a definite squeeze.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by horvathr492
You think the reg would just call with KK+? Also because of the fish imo he would call with more pp-s. I would do the same in this situation and I fold to 3bets more often then he does. I also think that these kind of fishes call with everything preflop, so I would assume a wider range then that

In fact every player will re-raise KK+.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You are probably right. At least at this limit.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Even higher they will have much more combos re-raising...


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Naixy
Joined: 23.04.2013

Given the stats and positions I wouldnt squeeze TT here, yes you could try to ISO the fish but the reg doesnt like to fold and he is UTG so you are 3Betting vs a strong range which wont fold and you will face very tough multiway spots.


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NatRPheM
Joined: 05.10.2008

Originally posted by nitrol
As we close the action preflop, I prefer just flatting.

This


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