$0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
SB: $26.39 (132 bb)
BB: $26.82 (134.1 bb)
UTG: $21.49 (107.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $20 (100 bb)
CO: $10 (50 bb)
BTN: $20.26 (101.3 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 3
A
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.60, CO folds, BTN calls $0.60, 2 folds
Flop: ($1.50) 8 2 7
(2 players)
Hero bets $0.90, BTN calls $0.90
Turn: ($3.30) T
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.98, BTN calls $1.98
River: ($7.26) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.08
Just 4 hands on villain, he seemed fishy. I saw him limp once.
Pre, flop & turn seems standard to me. (A3s is normal open for me in MP)
OTR I hit a pair so I decided to check for showdown value and villain bets.
I believe that villain would raise most of his sets and 2 pair on the flop or on the turn on this board. I also think that 8x and 7x would check back on the river. So when he bets otr he has JJ/Tx or missed draw. I gave him this range:
Table: 7♥8♣2♣ T♦ 3♥
WIN:
MP2 30.77% { Ac3c }
MP3 69.23% { JdJh, JdJs, TdTh, T9s, KcQc, QcJc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, 8d7d, 6d5d, 6h5h }
So the range:
Value range:
2 combos of JJ(that he did not 3bet)
1xSlowplayed TT
1xSlowplayed 78
K♣:T♣:/Q♣:T♣:/T♣:J♣:
9Ts
Bluff range:
K♣:Q♣:,J♣:Q♣:
2 combos of 56s
Vs this range we have 30,77% equity and we have 29% for the call.
BUT should I still fold this hand because we have better hands to bluff catch with on this spot, for example A♣:7♣:/99.
