JJ Over pair vs 3xbet

The stats you gave are for BTN?

I would 3bet preflop.

As played call river.

I also like to put pressure preflop and 3b.
As played, On river there are more better hands than worse that 3 barrel. Fold.

3 bet pf, otherwise call river

JJ is not a hand you want to lure the limping fish in with.

Getting 5:2, you can't fold all JJ combos if you strive for balance, so even if you are hardly a favorite, calling some JJ is necessary. (Your hand, by the way, is almost face up:) )

You can assume he's gonna isolate the fish wide, thus it's a standard spot to use some pressure and 3b.

3b pf and vs 4b fold. Doubt he is 4betting that wide with only 2.6 as 3b. As played fold river imo

I also like 3betting preflop more. As played, I don't think we can profitably call the river.

Fold river is not a mistake i think, but it's close given that the opponent 3 barreling too much.

It depends how big is the hand sample.

I would fold river given the fact that 3 barell on these boards are rare on nl10 IMO

it is an easy 3b-fold preflop play. There is no call on the river. Really tripple barrell bluff with 2/3 of the post? In this situation your range is capped. So, your opponent still could have QQ+.
Flop is pretty dry, turn only improves 67, but your opponent bets the second time on the blank on paired board. He could have a lot hand that beats you. Just easy compare how many over pairs u can beat? Could you beat A3? So, there are a lot hands that beats us. Fold the river.

man, you should have folded it better preflop

Originally posted by tiltmonk
Just easy compare how many over pairs u can beat?

over pairs off course yes

I beat 99, TT =12 combo

I defeat QQ,KK,AA= 18combo

+ JJ draw

so If he has all over pairs here (only)
12+18=30 combo

12/30=0,4

I have 40% Equity River

he bet 4$ -> pot 6,15
so I need around 29% Equity here

CALL RIVER !!!

lets give BTN some sets: 88
and take 99 AA

BTN range : KK-QQ,TT,88 71,5% Equity

and we still have 28,5%

You cannot give all combos of 99-TT here. he may not 3 barrel them all. In fact I think he will not 3 barrel any of those.
So, your equity drops...