PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $25.00 (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 20.63, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 65)
SB: $36.17 (VPIP: 22.64, PFR: 22.64, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 54)
Hero (BB): $52.22
UTG: $43.34 (VPIP: 5.88, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
MP: $25.00 (VPIP: 17.14, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 70)
CO: $39.60 (VPIP: 20.15, PFR: 17.91, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 140)
SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♦ K♦
fold, fold, CO raises to $0.75, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.70, CO calls $1.95
Flop: ($5.50, 2 players) 5♦ 9♠ 4♥
Hero bets $3.00, CO calls $3.00
Turn: ($11.50, 2 players) 2♠
Hero checks, CO bets $6.25, fold
Villain is a reg, with a ft3bet of 40% overall. So far his post flop stats look reasonable and there's nothing fancy about those. Therefore I wouldn't expect a lot of floats on this flop texture.
I just gave him following range for calling my preflop 3bet:
JJ-22,QdQh,QdQs,QdQc,A2s+,KTs+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,97s+,87s,AJo+,KQo
Vs. this range we are actually ahead:
Spoiler
Board: 9♠5♦4♥
Equity Win Tie
MP2 46.73% 43.62% 3.11% { JJ-22, QdQh, QdQs, QdQc, A2s+, KTs+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, AJo+, KQo }
MP3 53.27% 50.16% 3.11% { AdKd }
But what is the better play? Betting or checking? The opponent has a 5/5 Bet flop in position stat. But it would be bad if he just barrels us off on the turn if we go for a check/call. In opposition not a lot of worse calls our cbet, therefore it would just to take it down and protect our equity.
Your thoughts on this?