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NL5 6-max - KQs Sb v MP - Turn/River Line

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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

OTT: x/c or donk the turn? Which do you think is better and why?

This kind of spot is something that leaves me really unsure what to do. Especially on wetter textures. On a dry board, my general line would be x/c F+T and donk the R if villain checks behind OTT. Where as in this kind of situation I expect your average NL5 player to checking back most of their draws on the Turn and maybe some weaker TP and pairs less than TP. This means that if I was to x/c the flop and donk the Turn I get value from worse Kx and draws, rather than giving them a free card and if I get raised then I am mostly crushed IMO, so it would seem like a fairly safe / sensible bet/fold to me.

If I had more info that villain is the type of player to barrel a lot (draws etc) then I am more inclined to x/c and let him barrel. However, I also need to be fairly comfortable with what a river barrel means from villain. I.e is he capable of triple barreling, as bluff with missed draws for example OR whenever villain barrels the river he has 2pr+ or something and is NEVER bluffing.

OTR: as played....

I felt that donking small would be better than checking as I felt villain would check behind a lot of worse hands OTR that might pay a bet if I donked. Sized it small to get value from weaker TP and some pairs less than TP.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 135.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
Hero (SB): 109.4 BB
BB: 113.8 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
UTG: 79.6 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP: 183.6 BB (VPIP: 18.87, PFR: 16.98, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
CO: 198.4 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♠ Q♠

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.6 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) K♥ 7♥ 6♠
Hero checks, MP bets 4 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) 3♣
Hero checks, MP bets 9 BB, Hero calls 9 BB

River: (33 BB, 2 players) 4♦
Hero bets 10 BB, fold

Hero wins 31.6 BB


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24 replies
VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

Do you call a raise otr?


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009
seanspurs87
Joined: 05.09.2012

I'm no expert :f_cool: but I like the hand as played. OTR the donk stops villain from bluffing with missed draws which we would find hard to call, and we possibly can get weaker hands to call.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

I dont see point in donking the river on this board. Worse hands are not calling and you are turning your hand into a bluff.

Also not sure about the call pre in SB.


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Tinsley15
Joined: 18.07.2013

@marsa

ti is a blocking bet, he is not turning it into a bluff..

@muel

if you x otr, should KQ be the bottom of our calling range here?


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

I know what a block bet is... I just dont see worse hands calling our donk bet on this board so I dont like it. So the bet it is not for value.


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

@Marsa08: I think KJ/KT will often call us here, maybe wider. I'm just thinking in terms of the average player on NL5. If I know villain is a better player then maybe not, but I certainly think we get call by worse OTR.

@tinsley

I'm not sure villain would go three streets with KT/KJ here or fire the river with missed draws so I would tend to x/fold until I know villain better.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think you played this well.
Check calling river is also a decent option.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

We should xc river.


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Why would you go with a x/c?

I think villain will only bet the river with hands that beat us personally.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

then just xf...
what do you achieve by betting small and then fold?
You have a bluff cather and you should bluff catch.


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

to get value from hands that would otherwise check behind for example (KT/KJ). I doubt very much that these hands would go for 3 streets OR that he triple barrel bluffs.

If I bet and get raised I dont expect him to bluff raise me often so I am dead anyway. but by placing a small bet, I get additional thin value from the times he sigh calls me with worse 1pr b/c "pot odds"


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I agree with that reasoning.
Villain probably doesn't 3 barrel with worse hands so I would feel uncomfortable check calling this. If we underbet we can get some calls from weaker Kx and if he calls with better hand we still lose less than if we had check called his 2/3 bet. And I don't see many 3 barrel bluffs so we can fold vs a raise.

Underbetting river OOP is imo better than check folding. We risk only a little and it has some benefits.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

by underbetting, we give him a chance to raise and we will have to fold.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You know that river raises at the micros are very often for value. I doubt villain will bluff raise us very often. If he raises we can fold. According to weasel this is not problematic? I also believe this is better line.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What if he raises KJ?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Do you really think he would do that? If he does, good for him. On the long run our line will still be the best.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Whatever is best is genuinely hard to figure out. First, a lot of guesswork abut villain's range and behavior in different scenarios, then a little math (that you don't want to do by hand).


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Do you really think he would do that? If he does, good for him. On the long run our line will still be the best.

I understand that you've found out the power of underbetting the river but still it is not applicable in every single hand. :)


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