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6 max SnG 1.5$ hands 99 fold or not

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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

PokerStars - $1.32+$0.18|15/30 Ante 4 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 48.37 BB
UTG: 46.27 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
MP: 42.93 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
CO: 49.7 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
BTN: 81.1 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
SB: 31.63 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 10)

6 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has 9♦ 9♣

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, SB raises to 5.8 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 4.8 BB


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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

First was not sure why I must fold 99 here and I've made some calculations and there are 5984/19600 or 33.5% of flops which doesn't contain high cards, meaning that in 66.5% of times we get the flops where we have to make a difficult dicision unless we improve (1000/13616 of flops or 5% which contain a high card and a 9 or two) + in about 8% of times the OR he will hold an operpair. Thus we clarly win only in 39% of times and we have only 5/9 preflop = 55.5%
With that being saied it was a clear fold. Moreover, if we just call, we allow other players to get good pot odds and hit smth stupid.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

If we call we calling only for set value, but I don’t think that’s too bad with 2 fishes that already limped here and are willing to call as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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