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AJs flops trips vs villain shove

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robin261187
Joined: 04.01.2011

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 34 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
SB: 96.2 BB (VPIP: 39.47, PFR: 23.68, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 38)
BB: 45.6 BB (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
UTG: 53 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP: 318.4 BB (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 21.15, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 53)
Hero (CO): 110.6 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♠ A♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB calls 2.6 BB, BB raises to 5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB, SB calls 2 BB

Flop: (20 BB, 4 players) A♦ A♣ T♣
SB checks, BB bets 3 BB, Hero raises to 19.6 BB, fold, fold, BB raises to 40.6 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 21 BB

Turn: (101.2 BB, 2 players) 6♠

River: (101.2 BB, 2 players) 7♦

Hey, guys.

Are you calling villain's shove on the flop?

We need about 20% equity to call.

If we give villain the following range, which is very bad for us, we still have 25% equity (we are splitting a lot though):

Board: A♦A♣T♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    74.56%  60.96%  13.60% { TT, ATs+, ATo+ }
MP3    25.44%  11.84%  13.60% { AsJs }

What range do you put him on?


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9 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I am not sure if I would call the minraise but rather 4bet here. We have too many callers.
As played, I find a fold. Villain wasn't raising with anything lower than AT...


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

I guess it is an easy call.
1) our opponent min3b preflop at micro - this could mean 3 thing -
a) small or middle pair
b) monster QQ+
c) ATs+,AJ

So, by equilab calculations vs

  • {22+,ATs+,AJo+} - you have 79% equity - easy money, not sure he would overplay 22-99 here
  • but even vs {TT+,ATs+,AJo+} = you still have 59,17% equity
  • if opponent would min 3b any AX+PP and shove with {TT+,A2s+,A2o+} - you still have 68%.

In all cases you have no fold - especially, our opponent quite short and seems fishy.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I tend to call more than to fold. I will fold A9...


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

I don't know. But the question can be avoided according to your own taste. If you would like to fold to a push, then raising flop smaller is better. The general idea is to chose bet sizes so that later decisions (for you) become simple and harder for the opponent.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think it would be better to 4bet pre flop.
OTF I would call the shove. Villain is short stack and probably recreational player, he has plenty of weak hands and any weaker A will go broke with that stack imo.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

If we 4bet preflop we have to make it to something like 20BB to isolate the BB, I believe. So we would have to call his shove, imo.

I like the way the hand is played. I think he has enough worse hands OTF.


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robin261187
Joined: 04.01.2011

Thanks for the feedback, guys.

As Alleen86 said, if I 4b pre flop, I would have to call in case villain shoved. Is it really a good idea to 4b pre flop?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by robin261187
Thanks for the feedback, guys.

As Alleen86 said, if I 4b pre flop, I would have to call in case villain shoved. Is it really a good idea to 4b pre flop?

I'm not very comfortable to 4bet it for value, so I rather choose a call.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

It may not be a value 4b. We thin the field or are happy to collect the dead money. Plus we have blockers.


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