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JJ on the river. bet for value or x back river?

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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

SB: $10.75 (107.5 bb)
BB: $15.05 (150.5 bb)
UTG: $10.56 (105.6 bb)
MP: $11.39 (113.9 bb)
CO: $10 (100 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J♦: J♣:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB folds, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.55

Flop: ($1.65) 9♦: 2♣: 2♦: (2 players)
BB bets $0.79, Hero calls $0.79

Turn: ($3.23) 7♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.54, BB calls $1.54

River: ($6.31) 2♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ?

Villain is playing
31/19/3b 14 over 16 hands (=basically no info on villain)

Should hero jam this river or just check behind? Not sure what is the best play.

IMO bet folding is not an option because we would just commit like 80% of our stack and then fold so:

jam or check ?

Edit: To make your life easier and to save you from calculating; hero has about pot sized bet left on the river (68bb).


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8 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Ask yourself what will you achieve with jamming. Will weaker hands call you?


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Bet-folding involves betting small, not investing 80%. You have invested 3.15, and have 6.85 to go. You could bet 2.5 and still easily fold.

I'd check myself, since the amount of hands that could call is not that big. There's always the risk of getting bluffed out (tough small, but so is his calling range). A less wimpy player than me should bet-fold small because a less wimpy player easier gets called.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think villain would most likely bet QQ+ OTT so we probably have a better hand than him. So basically I don't think it would be bad to bet and go broke. On the other hand the amount of hands in villain's range that can call your bet OTR is very small so maybe rather check behind. Villain can slowplay nuts sometimes.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Bet like $1 to induce AK to shove, while reading it as weakness against crazy monkeys :f_thumbsup:
With no info I would check back. I dont think people are 3betting TT and lower from the BB.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I think a xb and small bet both can be argued as there are definitely some hands that will call you off.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010
marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Ok, I x;ed river and villain showed TT so I was thinking that I missed some value otr. I think betting small like some of you have suggested is the best play here even though villain can sometimes slowplay turn.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by marsa08
Ok, I x;ed river and villain showed TT so I was thinking that I missed some value otr.
...

Reasoning carries a warning flag. You didn't miss 1.0 bets. Not even versus the particular hand TT did you miss 1.0 bets. A good aggressive opponent will see a river suck bet for what it is. If he plays right, he'll bluff reraise you some times. Thus you missed perhaps 0.05 bets in the long run. Or you saved 0.05 bets. Who knows?


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