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TP OOP in 3bet pot

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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

Opponent stats 16/13 with 6,5 3bet. But only 30 hands sample.

Previous min3bet hand of him was AA, when check backed twice Flopping Fullhouse. River values 30% pot.
Is only 1 seen hand enough to put him on overpair again? Next time simply fold against him, even with good odds?

Prima, $10 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 20 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 6,960 (34.8 bb)
BB: 17,050 (85.3 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): 22,645 (113.2 bb)
UTG+2: 8,384 (41.9 bb)
MP1: 14,062.67 (70.3 bb)
MP2: 14,165 (70.8 bb)
MP3: 12,265 (61.3 bb)
CO: 8,859 (44.3 bb)
BTN: 12,590 (63 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A♠: J♥:
Hero raises to 500, UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to 1,000, 6 folds, Hero calls 500

Flop: (2,480) 7♦: 7♥: J♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets 836, Hero calls 836

Turn: (4,152) 5♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets 1,736, Hero calls 1,736

River: (7,624) 2♥: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets 4,726, Hero calls 4,726

Results:

Spoiler

17,076 pot
Final Board: 7♦: 7♥: J♠: 5♣: 2♥:
Hero mucked A♠: J♥: and lost (-8,318 net)
MP1 showed K♦: K♣: and won 17,076 (8,758 net)


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3 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

is 6.5% 3bet like 1/15 or 2/30? it seems from your notes that hes the type that tries to play nuts slowly to keep you in, so yeah it seems suspicious but i am not sure where we should fold. i kinda actually wanna fold flop but you should probably only fold turn i guess


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It looks like he has a 3bet sizing tell and you play the hand also out of position. So I would most likely fold this pre-flop. Off course you get decent odds, but you could end up in trouble if you hit top pair like now.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

Thank You for the replies.

AJo has only 21% equity against KK+ so next time I will just fold this hand OOP pre.


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