SB: 18,450 (61.5 bb)
Hero (BB): 28,575 (95.3 bb)
UTG+2: 19,411 (64.7 bb)
MP1: 19,564 (65.2 bb)
MP2: 20,000 (66.7 bb)
MP3: 23,150 (77.2 bb)
CO: 18,700 (62.3 bb)
BTN: 20,680 (68.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with J♠: J♥:
3 folds, MP3 calls 300, CO calls 300, BTN folds, SB completes, Hero raises to 1,750, MP3 calls 1,450, 2 folds
Flop: (4,100) 7♣: 2♦: 6♦: (2 players)
Hero bets 2,000, MP3 calls 2,000
Turn: (8,100) 4♠: (2 players)
Hero bets 4,000, MP3 raises to 9,900, Hero folds
Hi everyone!
It's an interesting hand I'd like to talk about. My opponent seems to be a huge sponsor to the game, with a stat of 91/0 over 43 hands, and he called a raise 10 out of 10 times.
Based on this, I think I can go for an even 2000 preflop. He calls cbets 67% (8/12), I would rather bet bigger here, around 3k.
Now, when he raises on the turn, I was thinking about calling him versus jamming and folding also, and I'm not sure which one is best. Over this small sample his aggression% is 28/50/83, so he seems to be bluffing later in the hands, because his WonSD is 23 (13).
But the turn is a bit nasty, because 35, 85 got there, his low pairs could made 2 pair, and he can also have higher overpairs. I don't know his game, but i guess it's possible he overplays a hand like A7 here. If he does, I'm a huge donkey.
What do you think about it?
