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AT, top pair, value bet OTR?

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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016
Poker Player

PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 103 BB
SB: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 10.45, PFR: 7.13, 3Bet Preflop: 4.13, Hands: 1,409)
BB: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 34.69, PFR: 2.04, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 51)
UTG: 103.5 BB (VPIP: 42.86, PFR: 35.71, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
UTG+1: 264.5 BB (VPIP: 18.03, PFR: 15.30, 3Bet Preflop: 8.77, Hands: 183)
MP: 72.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)
MP+1: 47.5 BB (VPIP: 20.97, PFR: 8.06, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 63)
MP+2: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.78, PFR: 15.56, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 45)
CO: 141 BB (VPIP: 34.25, PFR: 8.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 74)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ A♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, BB calls 3 BB, fold

Flop: (9.5 BB, 2 players) K♥ 2♣ A♣
BB checks, Hero bets 5.5 BB, BB calls 5.5 BB

Turn: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 7♠
BB checks, Hero bets 13 BB, BB calls 13 BB

River: (46.5 BB, 2 players) 6♠
BB checks, Hero bets 22.5 BB

Hi guys! Should I bet river here for value? I assume villain with VPIP/PFR 35/2 is pretty fishy. Is it right to put him on range Kx, Ax and pp that can pay?


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5 replies
Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016
PokerStrategist

Yes, I think you should, because villain seems fishy. I might bet a little bit smaller OTR. Also WTSD stat would help you what to do.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
PokerStrategist

Bet small and fold vs a raise.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
PokerStrategist

I think we should bet for value here indeed.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
PokerStrategist

Looks well played to me.


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BelligerentBird Topic starter
BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016
Poker Player

Thank you very much guys!


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