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NL10 AQo raise on flop with GS against UTG

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advancedTN1984
Joined: 29.10.2012
Oldschool Grinder

I called preflop because of the positions. The flop has helped me a little more than the preflop raiser. Then I decided to go for a check raise and take the initiative with my gutshot. As an unbalanced strategy I fire the turn as well. The river is than a check back once improved and fold to a shove because general population isn't sticking it in light?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 194.2 BB (VPIP: 20.08, PFR: 15.98, 3Bet Preflop: 10.59, Hands: 253)
MP: 40.7 BB (VPIP: 81.25, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
CO: 141.3 BB (VPIP: 43.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
BTN: 109.3 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
SB: 31.5 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (BB): 101.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ Q♥

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 5♠ J♦ T♠
Hero checks, UTG bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 13.4 BB, UTG calls 9.4 BB

Turn: (33.3 BB, 2 players) 4♥
Hero bets 21.1 BB, UTG calls 21.1 BB

River: (75.5 BB, 2 players) A♥
Hero bets 64 BB and is all-in, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 72.1 BB
Rake paid 3.4 BB


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4 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
PokerStrategist

Calling pre is fine.
With 2 overs and nut gut shot I think it is ok to xr flop.
OTT I'm not sure if we should continue when villain calls OTF.
As played OTR could be a check indeed. I'm not sure what we accomplish with a shove except isolate ourselves against better hands.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016
PokerStrategist

After you c/r OTF I wouldn´t continue betting on this turn, because villain must have something. OTR I would choose different sizing, something between 30 and 40 BB.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
PokerStrategist

Turn card does not change anything so all hands that called flop will call turn too.
On river we lose to his Ax and tie with AQ...


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by advancedTN1984
...
The flop has helped me a little more than the preflop raiser.
...

Originally posted by la55i
...
With 2 overs and nut gut shot I think it is ok to xr flop.
...

I'd say 2 overs and nut gut shot is only half the story. Villain's hand is on average much better than that. There's AA/KK/QQ/JJ/TT, AK/AQ/AJ/ATs, KQ/KJs/KTs, QJs/QTs, JTs, T9s, 98s, and all pocket pairs that have us beat at the moment.

Not saying check-raise is wrong, just that you should expect many calls, so keeping firing on turn is a must. I personally build my bluff ranges from below for a couple of reasons. One of the reasons is that the overcards may turn out to be a liability. It is illustrated this hand. We hit the A on the river. Are we really happy? It almost forces us to go broke, or we can make bad decisions in the heat of the battle (like presumably here as OP hints) Bluffing with 7♠:6♠: and the like can't get you in that position (and, besides, have more reasonable secure outs).

Main point in above rant: Don't count overcards as much of outs if the pot gets big, especially OOP vs UTG:)


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