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All in bet on the flop from fish

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599ALG
Joined: 13.08.2014

Hello all,

Would you call this all in from the fish on the flop? Mostly, do you apply any mathematics for these kind of decisions?

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

SB: $3.67 (183.5 bb)
BB: $1.03 (51.5 bb)
UTG: $3.02 (151 bb)
MP: $3.83 (191.5 bb)
CO: $0.97 (48.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $3.15 (157.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J♦: J♥:
2 folds, CO raises to $0.04, Hero raises to $0.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.10, CO calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.37) 7♥: 9♥: 4♠: (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $0.85 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.85, BB folds

Turn: ($2.07) 6♥: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($2.07) 5♣: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$2.07 pot ($0.07 rake)
Final Board: 7♥: 9♥: 4♠: 6♥: 5♣:
BB mucked and lost (-$0.12 net)
CO showed 8♥: A♥: and won $2 ($1.03 net)
Hero showed J♦: J♥: and lost (-$0.97 net)


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7 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You can put villain on a range and see how much equity you have. To call this bet you have to win over 40% of the times. Villain has all possible sets and very good draws. He is shortstacker and looks fishy so I would not rule out 2 pair hand. And then he can of course overplay some overcards or 88-TT.


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smerti1111
Joined: 31.03.2009

100% call and it is not even close.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Vs a fullstack, I would fold. Vs a midstack (and most likelly a fish) I think we can call. He could overplay top pair and do that with all kind of draws.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Vs a shortstack, we can call and take a note.


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Mandator
Joined: 02.02.2008
MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

NH, easy call :) can be draws, can be 9x, can be better sometimes. But overall we are way-ahead here


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

Nothing hard there imo. We have overpair and villain can often go crazy with draws.


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