AA x raise turn double card

I don't expect villain to semibluff raise turn with a draw very often when it pairs. I think it might be better to fold there.

I would stack of or fold on the turn, because you can’t really fold the river with so much money already invested on his big turn raise and he isn’t folding ether if you have reads he can make this move with Kx or so.

Cheers,
SDK1987

I think he has quite a few semi-bluffs here in fact, he can very well have Q♥:J♥:,Q♦:J♦:,J♥:9♥:,J♦:9♦: and on the other hand what trips would you give him there ? We block AT, KT and TT are less probable (not to talk about KK and 55), there's only 2 QTs and JTs available...
He can also feel confortable with A♦:K♦: here. EDIT : we block that, sorry
All in all I think it's a shove turn.

Yea we block a lot of stuff but those are still possible. When the board is paired and has 2 flush draws, I think his combodraws have a lot of reverse implieds. I think semibluffing on a paired board wouldn't be that great.

Originally posted by la55i
I think semibluffing on a paired board wouldn't be that great.

Sure thing, I do too, but it's too general of a statement for several reasons : first, lots of villains are doing "not that great" things on a daily basis, a big thanks to them for that and second we need to take into account the pecular texture of each board and parameters of each spot.
I mean, I hope you don't play every possible paired boards the same way vs every possible opponents, do you ?

Here maybe it's better to fold, I could be wrong, but nevertheless I at least feel like there's much worse "paired boards" than this one.

I would fold OTT. But I agree it´s shove or fold there. As been said, he can have bunch of draws. Though I think fold is still better than shoving. Don´t forget you block diamond FD.