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AA fold turn?

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R2PNZ
Joined: 02.01.2017

This is my first hand I'm ever posting. Played at NL2 Zoom on Stars.

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 151.5 BB (VPIP: 26.32, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
SB: 74.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
Hero (BB): 147 BB
UTG: 124 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
MP: 165 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
CO: 105.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ A♦

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 9.5 BB, MP calls 6.5 BB

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) Q♠ 4♣ 6♠
Hero bets 10.5 BB, MP raises to 21 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB

Turn: (61.5 BB, 2 players) Q♥
Hero checks, MP bets 12 BB, Hero raises to 54 BB, MP raises to 134.5 BB and is all-in, fold,

My analysis:

Prefolp: Standard
Flop: Range I put him on after reraise: Any flush draw, Qx, 57s, 44, 66, total air
cBet = on the small side think 2/3 or even 3/4 is a better size (getting as much value as possible at these stakes) Don't like the flat either if I raise I think he'd continue with almost his whole reraising range which I'm mostly ahead of, but how ofter does he have a set here? If he's bluffing then reraising prevents him from making a dumb 2 pair on later streets.
Turn: As played think it's an easy fold. Or is it?


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9 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Your hand is not particularly vulnerable. I don't like that raise OTT very much, you are basically turning your hand into a bluff.
Villains small bet OTT can easily be to induce you to raise, or then he has Qx and realizes you can't have many good hands on this board and therefore bets very small.


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Titicamara
Joined: 18.05.2009

Good fold. I too think the villain has a Q. In retrospect, you could have called the turn bet and then reevaluate the river. You might spike an A on the river.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

I fold like a hooker smashed by a fat guy when faced with mini raise


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Well, I wouldn't. I'd call at least once. But I'd check and fold on turn on that Q.

Why the heck did you try to check-raise bluff on turn? Trying to make KQ go away?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Villain played it like KQ or AQ and you cannot make him fold that . Flop play is ok but on turn you can safely xf.


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R2PNZ
Joined: 02.01.2017

He bets 1/6 of the pot I'd seen him b/f in that spot before


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

just call then... to keep his bluffsand weaker hands...Do not raise as you will face only hands that beat you.


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corsc
Joined: 03.11.2009

I don't like the raise OTT.
You are either way ahead (vs the flush draws, middle pairs, etc) or way behind (Qx).

If the villain is a thinking player they might be betting small to induce a raise (unlikely at NL2)
If the villain is a normal NL2 player, then a small bet means either, weakness or complete lack of understanding of bet sizing (most likely).

It would cost you less to x/c OTT and re-evaluate on the river. Most likely a x/c (against a small bet) or x/f (against a large bet).

My personal experience with NL2 and NL5 has been that players are happy to bluff when they perceive weakness (you check) but river bets are far more honest than other streets.
Strong bets (actually most bets) are usually a sign that they have a good piece of it


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Agree with the above. x/c OTT, x/f OTR if not improved.


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