Playing made hand OOP as PFR on drawy board

Tough spot indeed.
I checked this with Snowie and it would recommend to check OTF. That might make sense when you are OOP. I guess Snowie thinks BTN won't have soo many drawing hands when he just calls MP open and you block Jx and Kx. It recommends to check 95% but betting has the same EV.
Turn is fine.
OTR it is a difficult decision and my personal thoughts are both betting and check folding should be ok. If you bet, bet small and fold vs a raise. Snowie would bet 25% of the pot but it has only slightly higher EV than checking. If you check and villain bets 1/2, Snowie would call but it is only EV 0.33

Cool ! Thanks for taking the time to answer. That's weird tho because if I am the vilain, I probably bet big when I bluff and make it half pot or less when I have it to that they can pay me with a king.
Given that if we ever bluff catch here, we might have to call some big bets too.

I think we have value bet here - he has KQ, KT, some AK, QT, JQ in his range and not so many FDs, since J and T♦ are down, plus he might be semi bluff raising sometimes with FD OTF or OTT. Maybe 1/2 pot bet river.

I have been giving a second thought to that situation. When he call turn he either has a made hand, or a draw. When the river card completes the draw either way:
- He had a made hand and will be happy to take a showdown (he never bluffs a made hand here
- He had a draw and he made his hand

So I think snowie advice makes perfect sense, bet 35%, in first case he will call, in second case he will raise and we can fold. Actually I think they never bluff in that spot.

Originally posted by SuperChompa
I have been giving a second thought to that situation. When he call turn he either has a made hand, or a draw. When the river card completes the draw either way:
- He had a made hand and will be happy to take a showdown (he never bluffs a made hand here
- He had a draw and he made his hand

So I think snowie advice makes perfect sense, bet 35%, in first case he will call, in second case he will raise and we can fold. Actually I think they never bluff in that spot.

Honestly I think it depends on the villain ... If his AGG river is much above average it's a perfect spot for him to bluff. I agree with # la55i, snowie has great resolutions .... but good interpretations of stats, and good notes are irreplaceable ....

I agree with leonard, if opponents river Afq is 40%+, I often check cry call river. If Afq is below 30% I bet 1/2p and fold to any aggression encountered.