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[FR] KK

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biogas
Joined: 22.07.2010

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $14.64 (146.4 bb)
BB: $10.32 (103.2 bb)
UTG+1: $11.13 (111.3 bb) 19/14/22.0 over 114 hands
UTG+2: $4.87 (48.7 bb)
MP1: $13.11 (131.1 bb)
MP2: $10.30 (103 bb)
Hero (MP3): $16.32 (163.2 bb)
CO: $4.45 (44.5 bb)
BTN: $10.73 (107.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K♣: K♠:
UTG+1 raises to $0.30, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.89, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.59 standart line

Flop: ($1.93) 8♠: 2♦: 4♦: (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.04, UTG+1 raises to $4.40, Hero calls $3.36 I decided to call here as if he is bluffing to keep the bluffs in, or if I am against AA or a set then I keep pot small for now.

Turn: ($10.73) T♦: (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $5.84, Hero folds I fold here as he most likely won't be bluffing as I my flop call will tell him that I am not going to fold. So I say he is on AA or 88, can't see him having smaller set or two pair. QQ or JJ are very unlikely to play so aggressively (though he got 22.0 AF).

Results:

Spoiler

$10.73 pot ($0.48 rake)
Final Board: 8♠: 2♦: 4♦: T♦:
UTG+1 mucked and won $10.25 ($4.96 net)
Hero mucked K♣: K♠: and lost (-$5.29 net)


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5 replies
Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I think villain goes for value OTF as well as OTT, I don´t think he has any flushes in his range, those wouldn´t raise OTF. Basically I see only pocket pairs (88+) in his range. Against this range, our range has around 60% and KK are somewhere at top of our range. I think I would call the turn and see what the river brings. If he bets again I fold, I´d fear sets...


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by Mozzek
...
Basically I see only pocket pairs (88+) in his range. Against this range, our range has around 60%
...

Why are you concerned about our range? And do you really think he plays all pp 88+ this way (and only those hands)?

I guess you are looking for a "GTO answer"?


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

Because we should know and realize what cards are in our range, however I agree with you it´s not necessary, just useful. Well, what else do you think he plays this way? Who c/r flush draw OTF after that preflop action? It´s quite fishy move imo and villain seems reasonable. I wouldn´t be concerned about flushes OTT, it just doesn´t make sense to me and only what does is pocket pairs. What are your thoughts?

I´ve never studied gto, so I don´t know what should I imagine under GTO answer :).


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

When villain shoves OTT he needs us to fold 35% to make autoprofit -> you have to call with 65% of your range.
You put yourself on a range, check how many combos total you have, and then call with top 65%.
However since villain risked money on previous streets to get this bluff spot, it probably is ok to let him make small autoprofit with his shove. We still won't be exploitable.

I believe that is your GTO answer. I'm still a noob at this so Yohan can confirm if that is correct


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I like the fold. But a fold on flop is ok too.


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