Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Set over set - Can I ever find a fold here ?

4 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
479 Views
YunQi595
Joined: 17.12.2016

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

(BTN): 160.9 BB (VPIP: 32.82, PFR: 23.28, 3Bet Preflop: 9.18, Hands: 265)
Hero (SB): 310.3 BB
(BB): 102.4 BB (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 18.67, 3Bet Preflop: 12.59, Hands: 309)
Villain (UTG): 246.1 BB (VPIP: 24.24, PFR: 19.70, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 66)
(MP): 89 BB (VPIP: 22.92, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 49)
(CO): 100 BB (VPIP: 20.17, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 120)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, reeqar posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4♠ 4♥

Villain raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 3 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) 9♥ T♣ 4♣
Hero checks, Villain bets 7.2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 21.5 BB, Villain calls 14.3 BB

Turn: (53 BB, 2 players) 3♠
Hero bets 35 BB, Villain calls 35 BB

River: (123 BB, 2 players) A♠
Hero bets 66 BB, Villain raises to 186.6 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 120.6 BB

Spoiler

Villain shows A♣ A♥ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 81%, Flop 13%, Turn 5%)
Hero shows 4♠ 4♥ (Three of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 19%, Flop 87%, Turn 95%)
Villain wins 481.2 BB


Reply
Quote
3 replies
Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Boomer, A makes me more incentived to call


Reply
Quote
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

This is double thread.
In the other thread I tell you to be cautious when playing that deep but no-one is gona blame you for calling.


Reply
Quote
FlyingDutchm1n
Joined: 21.08.2012

Well maybe I am too tight or something and I should be careful when projecting my range upon others, but when someone calls my 3x flop raise I don't keep their overpairs in there anymore since they will have about 10% equity to win the hand on showdown and I expect them to fold. Here I would have puke-folded river, as AA is in his range like AA with the bdfd or something but again, the 3x raise and half pot bet on turn I still think why would anyone with a bare overpair continue here?? However it does happen. Here though as mentioned by another poster you are deep. Shallower I guess I would call because per definition you would get better pot odds to call when shallower. Here now on the river you have to call 120bb to win a roughly 480 pot. That means you need 25% equity on AVERAGE against his raising range to make that call profitable. You have 44, fill in his raising range in equity calculator, and you will have your answer. Vs sets only you have 0% equity, but if you would add AT and A9 to it you would have a defnite call. Question is if players stay in the pot after a 3x raise on flop with top pair/medium pair top kicker? Well again I probably wouldnt but then again I wouldnt have stayed in with bare overpair either. All in all he hit a 2 outer on the river and won a huge pot because your hand was relatively still very strong and the call is understandable.


Reply
Quote