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AA Blind battle agains regular/common villain

6 Posts
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rvnikauj
Joined: 03.02.2017

PokerStars - €0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 44.5 BB (VPIP: 39.47, PFR: 9.87, 3Bet Preflop: 1.89, Hands: 155)
SB: 152.5 BB (VPIP: 28.55, PFR: 23.33, 3Bet Preflop: 12.08, Hands: 2,913)
Hero (BB): 105.5 BB
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.97, PFR: 15.77, 3Bet Preflop: 5.50, Hands: 1,424)
MP: 102.5 BB (VPIP: 39.46, PFR: 8.72, 3Bet Preflop: 2.95, Hands: 1,092)
CO: 48 BB (VPIP: 13.92, PFR: 11.39, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 81)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ A♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, SB calls 6 BB

Flop: (18 BB, 2 players) 8♠ 2♦ 3♠
SB checks, Hero bets 11.5 BB, SB calls 11.5 BB

Turn: (41 BB, 2 players) 2♥
SB checks, Hero bets 26 BB, SB raises to 52 BB, Hero calls 26 BB

River: (145 BB, 2 players) 6♥
SB bets 40 BB, Hero calls 33 BB and is all-in

Spoiler

SB shows 2♣ A♦ (Three of a Kind, Twos)
(Pre 6%, Flop 8%, Turn 98%)
Hero shows A♣ A♠ (Two Pair, Aces and Twos)
(Pre 94%, Flop 92%, Turn 2%)
SB wins 202.5 BB

Well here we go. I didn't put him on that call 3bet range 88 maybe, but strange he raises turn because it is a dry card, thoughts?
Info on villain:


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5 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Fold turn with less than top 2 pair.


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SuperChompa
Joined: 26.07.2016

I didn't looked at the spoiler but this is the exact example of baluga teorem :)


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yup, you can follow baluga when unsure.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

The hell is baluga?
Agree with the turn fold.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by DecMate
The hell is baluga?

Short version:
When you face a turn raise, you should strongly consider folding if you hold weaker hand than top 2 pair.
It is a very old theorem developed by a poker player called BalugaWhale. Basically it says that on the long run you are correct to fold one pair hands vs turn raise. Because those most often are very strong.

I'm not sure how accurate this is today but at the micros it should be fine.


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