BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 53.65, PFR: 16.42, 3Bet Preflop: 5.42, Hands: 14,231)
SB: 73 BB (VPIP: 51.71, PFR: 13.96, 3Bet Preflop: 4.79, Hands: 14,628)
BB: 374.75 BB (VPIP: 49.36, PFR: 14.77, 3Bet Preflop: 5.16, Hands: 13,525)
UTG: 203 BB (VPIP: 51.87, PFR: 14.86, 3Bet Preflop: 5.76, Hands: 13,263)
Hero (MP): 119.25 BB
CO: 8.75 BB (VPIP: 50.91, PFR: 14.60, 3Bet Preflop: 5.83, Hands: 14,081)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8♣ A♥ J♦ A♠
UTG calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4.5 BB, CO raises to 8.75 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 8.75 BB, fold, BB calls 7.75 BB, UTG calls 7.75 BB, Hero?
Wtf should I do in this spots ... well this one is pretty easy I assume since villain doesn't 3b pot so we only need to call a small amount and our AA are rainbow and we're closing the action so basically we're just calling to cheaply see a set. BUT what if villain pot 3bets and we have like AA72ss? I'm not sure about my thoughts on 4betting allin 5way since we'll lose unless we hit a set or nut flush or so which will happen like 18% of the time so 5way we only need like 18% so it's breakeven while being 4way already fuckes us up since we need like 20% to breakeven and not sure if we have them. On the other hand just calling a pot sized 3b and only continueing 18% of the time seems weird as well but I assume yelds similar value. So unless we have really shitty AA like AA72r should we be jamming it in here w/o thinking always and expect to be breakeven and have insanely big variance?
