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[Closed] PLO10 A3sAQ. Top set+Flush Draw vs Straight on turn

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$0.05/$0.1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi 5 players
Stacks: Hero (UTG) ($10.45) CO ($16.06) BTN ($11.10) SB ($9.50) BB ($12.75)

Pre-flop: ($0.15, 5 players) Hero is UTG A♣ 3♣ Q♠ A♥
Hero raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, 2 folds, BB calls $0.25

Flop: 9♣ 2♠ A♦ ($1.10, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.10, CO folds, BB calls $1.10

Turn: 4♣ ($3.30, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB raises to $9.30, Hero ???

I think this a very common situation. We have our top set since the flop, but the turn brings a possible made straight despite giving our flush draw.

If we put the villain in 53 for with the straight:
board: 9c2sAd4c
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
Ac3cQsAh 44.32% 252,708 26,420
53** 55.68% 320,872 26,420

We are risking 7$ for a 14$ pot. Should be enough this 44% in order to make the call?

Thanks and regards.


2 replies

Stack size?

1. Bet bigger on the turn
2. Stack off

If we can catch a bluff or worse made hand (wich is basically a smibluff) we´re likely +ev here.


Sim87
Joined: 29.10.2006

stacksizes are 104bb.

pretty easy bet/call on the turn :)