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KT suited vs. Squeeze

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farbenrausch
Joined: 27.06.2007

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 89.2 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
SB: 105.6 BB
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 34)
Hero (UTG): 102.6 BB
MP: 106.8 BB (VPIP: 36.36, PFR: 21.21, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 34)
CO: 73 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♥ T♥

Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, SB raises to 12.8 BB, fold, Hero calls 9.8 BB, MP calls 9.8 BB

Flop: (39.4 BB, 3 players) 2♥ 9♠ Q♣
SB bets 13.2 BB, Hero calls 13.2 BB, MP calls 13.2 BB

Turn: (79 BB, 3 players) 3♥
SB bets 79.6 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 76.6 BB and is all-in, fold

River: (232.2 BB, 2 players) 7♠

SB shows A♣ Q♦ (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 58%, Flop 69%, Turn 66%)
Hero shows K♥ T♥ (High Card, King)
(Pre 42%, Flop 31%, Turn 34%)
SB wins 222.6 BB

is the turn call justified?


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4 replies
Titicamara
Joined: 18.05.2009

In the long run this is a losing call. You have a gut-shot straight flush draw (12 outs). Your odds of hitting is around 26.09% and your call odds is around 32.99%. It looks bad.


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luchoprat
Joined: 02.01.2016

why did you call preflop?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You open from UTG and MP calls. SB is OOP vs both of you, so I believe his squeeze range should be quite tight. You hold suited two gapper that is easily dominated and if you call MP will probably have to call too so you will end up multiway and play this hand in sandwich.
I'm not sure about this but I would say calling is not the best move here.

About OTT. Against a pot size bet you need 33% equity. You have FD+gutshot = 12 outs. We can use rule of 2 and 4 -> you have about 25% equity. Conclusion = you are making a losing call.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Fold vs the squeeze sounds right. No need to fight.
Fold turn too if odds are against.


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