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[Closed] 5$ SNG KQ bubble

4 Posts
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Full Tilt Poker, $5 + $0.50 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 80/160 Blinds, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: 1,745
Hero (BB): 1,950
UTG: 7,940
BTN: 1,865

Pre-Flop: (240) Q♠ K♥ dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG raises to 480, 2 folds, Hero raises to 1,950 and is All-In, UTG calls 1,470

Flop: (3,980) 8♣ 5♦ J♥ (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Turn: (3,980) 4♣ (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: (3,980) 2♣ (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 3,980 Pot
Hero showed Q♠ K♥ (King Queen high) and LOST (-1,950 NET)
UTG showed 4♥ 4♦ (three of a kind, Fours) and WON 3,980 (+2,030 NET)

CL was a LAG player, and he really used that he was the chip leader, he raised a lot of pots preflop, I thought my KQ most likely beats his range, and I have a lot of fold equity too...The only problem is being knocked out at 4th place sucks:S

Okay, did a little research. Let's say he raises 40% of the time,and calls my reraise with the best 16% 33+ KTs+. So after his raise and my shove I have 67% that he folds,and 33% chance that he calls. If I fold, I have an equity of 19.9%, if I shove I have an equity of 23.8*0.67+29.5*0.064=18.1.
So shoving was a bad idea, even against a lose opponent : (
Then


3 replies
hiiaka
Joined: 06.09.2007

So shoving was a bad idea, even against a lose opponent : (
Then

i would shove TT+AQ+ here i think


NickParkes
Joined: 07.07.2008

I'm not a big fan of reshoving with KQo on the bubble, but if we have reads that opponent is loose it's close... for 10BBs I still don't like it though... for 8 and less it would be an excellent shove against my range, but I'd push...

I would reshove 77+ (maybe 66), AJo, ATs... KQs is again very close... we should have a decent amount of FE on the bubble and we have villain covered...


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by hiiaka

So shoving was a bad idea, even against a lose opponent : (
Then

i would shove TT+AQ+ here i think

This. Especially because we're shoving into the chipleader, who can in turn make an odds-call with a fairly wide range of hands. Also, I think your openraising range is too wide and I think you've done something wrong with your 0.064... against 16% we should be running better with KQo than 32.16%