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2 pair facing river raise

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BingoWings
Joined: 14.04.2017

villain 69/13/0
40 hands

Not sure if villain sees my line as weak i was just going for 3 streets of value. Its quite a hefty raise size.

Cheers.

SB: $10 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $19.39 (193.9 bb)
UTG: $10.55 (105.5 bb)
MP: $10.93 (109.3 bb)
CO: $14.06 (140.6 bb)
BTN: $11.82 (118.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♥: 5♦:
UTG calls $0.10, 4 folds, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.25) A♠: Q♦: 5♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.17, UTG calls $0.17

Turn: ($0.59) 8♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.30, UTG calls $0.30

River: ($1.19) J♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.59, UTG raises to $2.96, Hero ?


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7 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

We are dealing with a fishy player and I don’t think this kind of players will bluff to often like this and I would most likely fold my 2 pair here. He could have a straight sometimes and most of the time a better 2 pair or even a set.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

We cannot call here. Micro players mostly play straightforwardly and thus a raise OTR simply means the nuts.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Hard to imagine he was bluffing


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BingoWings
Joined: 14.04.2017

Ye i don't ever expect a bluff but i'm unsure how wide his value range can be . If i assign villain AQs-AJs,A8s,KTs,QJs,Q8s,AQo-AJo,A8o,KTo,QJo,Q8o then the call is -ev .Villains likely not raising all worse pair either so its probably above $1 -ev to call . Thanks for replies.

.34 x 4.74 / 2.37 = 0.68


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

This is a vey easy fold. No need to start a guessing game about his holding, because it wastes time. He makes a pot sized river raise of our pretty thin river value bet on a very dangerous board. Believe him and fold.


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TJtheTJ
Joined: 12.10.2011

Agree with all above about folding OTR.

I also bet a bit bigger OTT against a fishy player to extract more value. Plenty of worse hands that can and will call there even to a bigger sizing.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Yes, I like the flop and turn. On river we have to fold vs that raise.


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