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what does the guy think here?

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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

PokerStars - 400/800 Ante 100 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 19.8 BB
MP+2: 23.97 BB (VPIP: 28.13, PFR: 19.35, 3Bet Preflop: 27.27, Hands: 32)
Hero (CO): 25.91 BB
BTN: 16.21 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
SB: 59.45 BB (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)
BB: 15.01 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
UTG: 15.45 BB (VPIP: 22.78, PFR: 18.67, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 79)
UTG+1: 37.59 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
MP: 11.44 BB (VPIP: 13.79, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 29)

9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.62 BB) Hero has A♦ Q♦

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 5.12 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 raises to 37.46 BB and is all-in,

Spoiler

Hero calls 20.66 BB and is all-in

Flop: (54.19 BB, 2 players) 2♣ 5♠ 7♦

Turn: (54.19 BB, 2 players) A♣

River: (54.19 BB, 2 players) 4♣

UTG+1 shows J♥ A♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 25%, Flop 13%, Turn 7%)
Hero shows A♦ Q♦ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 75%, Flop 87%, Turn 93%)
Hero wins 54.19 BB

i searched him after this tourney (it was hot 55) highest score 800 bugs...

he got only 14 of me, so my stats are missleading...so in the 15 hands before i raised 3...
so he will shove 99+

he should shove here this imo

what u think guys is his standard open 2x?


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4 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Min raising is standard in this phase of the tournament I think. Especially with so many short stacks you can better raise small with so many re-shove stacks behind him. AQs for 25bb effective you can consider to 3bet shove with the big ante in play, but this is also fine. I don’t think AQs is a fold against most players on these stacks after your 3bet him.

I expect he would most likely even 4bet shove wider then you suggested. Otherwise you should even fold with the 38% (20,66/54,19) equity that you need here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

Originally posted by SDK1987

I expect he would most likely even 4bet shove wider then you suggested. Otherwise you should even fold with the 38% (20,66/54,19) equity that you need here.

yeah he does indeed shove wider but i would shove this range while otherwise its not profitable spot from villains perspective...i wont bluff 3bet him a ton if ever in this spot...

he could go for a 3bet flat oop and evaluate from their....is greater chance to max ev in this tourney as to risk the tourney life with survival of 27 percent


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Jaunais
Joined: 24.01.2014

i hope you understand that AQs here is borderline 3bet/call range!? Dep on opp you can also flat such hand if utg raiser is nit.


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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

yeah no easy spot...
would prob lay down AQo.....may not...but for 25 BB is fine spot...
i got only 14 hands on him where he wasnt too unactive...if i run into AK its bad but thats only 12 combos AA and kk are 9 so 21 combos vs. a lot more....

lets say eff ssize is <30 BB there i would rather 3bet fold or just flat....


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