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AKJ9ss vs steal

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1, $0.20 ante Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $68.10 (68.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $132.49 (132.5 bb)
MP: $93 (93 bb)
CO: $65.69 (65.7 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J♠: A♣: K♥: 9♠:
3 folds, BTN raises to $3, SB folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($7.70) T♠: 8♦: A♥: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.09, Hero raises to $19, BTN raises to $52.99, Hero raises to $96.80 and is all-in, BTN calls $43.81 and is all-in

Turn: ($201.30) 2♣: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($201.30) 5♥: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Villain probable reg, 32/18, 69 hands. Steal 47% (4/5 from BU). Ag 2.7
We seem to have a monster flop vs his overall range, but I'm still unsure if we should ever be x/r such hands... I hoped to induce some spazz by him. Once we get 3b otf, do you prefer calling and evaluating turns or just gii?

Would you in general have this in x/c range vs decent opposition so that we have coverage on many runnouts, or...?

Thanks


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

As PLO fish, I would just call the flop with our top pair and straight draws. So far I can see we have 8 outs for a straight with the 7 or Q. Now I would most likely even fold this hand, because we will be committed with calling and we don’t have any fold equity with shoving.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
1,414,500 trials (Exhaustive)
board: A♥T♠8♦
AcKhJs9s 42.40% (537,567 wins, 124,296 ties)
AKQJ, AA, JT98, QJ97, KQJ9, KQJT, QJT9, Kd[Ad-2d]Qs[As-2s], Jd9h[Ad-2d][Ah-2h] 57.60% (752,637 wins, 124,296 ties)

Added decent bit of spazzes but don't see how this is better than raising.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Hey Shev, I think you're saying we're behind gii range (even including spazzes) so better to flat here - is that right?


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

I think we're not ahead even against a wide flop 3bet range. Also, I actually don't think we're making a killing against a bet/calling range either, unless the guy is betting this size on the flop with a very wide range (and then tries to defend correctly). I would just x/c flop. Nice to have some of these hands in the x/cing range that never fold the turn.


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