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[Closed] Nl50 17

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Talic
Joined: 04.01.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($101)
BB ($140)
UTG ($50)
UTG+1 ($66.47)
Hero ($50)
BTN ($46.13)

Dealt to Hero 5♥A♥

fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, SB calls $1.75, fold,

FLOP ($4.50) 2♥6♥6♦

check, Hero bets $3.21, SB raises to $9, Hero raises to $23, SB calls $14,

TURN ($50.50) 2♥6♥6♦3♦

check, check,

RIVER ($50.50) 2♥6♥6♦3♦J♣

check, check,

SB 16/11/5.2 3bet/58 fold to c-bet/2.9AF/21wts

turn:???
I think its pretty obvious that opponent is on small overpair (this read you gain by his call the 4bet on flop, so please dont write "call flop IP", you just dont know what he has atm)

I think hes not folding to shove on turn, neither river


7 replies

The guy is playing 16/11 so his flop raise is so bad he is representing pocket 6's or pocket 2's which is so unlikely or a badly played low pocket pair which he is turning into a bluff therefore I really like your 3bet as it should get him to fold everything it's just too bad he's a calling station. I also just give up on the turn he's just not going to let it go.


Talic
Joined: 04.01.2008
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

I do not like 3betting on flop because of the paired board so I prefer to call down his raise.


Shove turn.

You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

-> shove it in:

If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.


caltabiano
Joined: 09.03.2007

Originally posted by Diedobal
Shove turn.

You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

-> shove it in:

If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.

+1


yea although i orginally said give up on turn I also agree with diedobal's analysis.


TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

Originally posted by caltabiano

Originally posted by Diedobal
Shove turn.

You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

-> shove it in:

If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.

+1

this

nothing to add.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar