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Tough preflop decisions and how you calculate them!?

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Jaunais
Joined: 24.01.2014

All the preflop guru's - now its time for your thoughts and analysis!!! Hand I played the other day in 55$ freezout. MID in the tournament.

Opp Nr.1 who open-shoves 11bb stats are fishy:

Opp Nr. 2 who overshoves is reg with 3bet under 3% which from my perspective is too conservative and i expect his reshoving range to be quiet tight as well:

How each of you would play here and why? If possible make your comments also in my Blog so i can give more deeper thoughts and my thinking in this very hand.


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lila28
Joined: 31.05.2013

Is it no ante game? (if antes in game it even lighter ranges all over place). I will assume no ante and here is what i think:
If we except 11bb be on around 16-18% what seem very reasonable for any player, might be even more (20-22%) with his stats.
I would except reshover to be on minimum 77+,ATs+,AJo+ (tight reg) and then even more if he is better reg.

I think AKs is very tight fold and would only fold on some bubble/icm spot.
3% 3bet definitely don't mean 3% re-shove over 11bb shove. Would say it not even most important number to consider in situation as it mostly represent his deepstacked 3bets what is nit number for most regs in mtt's.
From my experience mtt regs is very tight 3bets overall but mostly because they not 3bet bluff enough Suited connected/semi-connected hands, suited aces when deeper stacked ect., but they get relative loose 3bet shoves when they in reshove stacks.
Also it MP2 vs CO ranges not Utg vs Utg+1 ranges or something.
I would go here around AKo/AKs/TT+

P.s. GL man, it only my take on hand but hope it helps.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would go broke here as well with AKs.
If you want to calculate it I recommend reading the articles:
Ranges & Equity (1): Introduction to Ranges
Ranges & Equity (2): Combos & Card Removal
Ranges & Equity (3): Equity Introduction
Ranges & Equity (4): Equity: Final Calls

Cheers,
SDK1987


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