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AKo sqz deep.

6 Posts
5 Users
3 Reactions
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imfar
Joined: 20.07.2009

IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $30.20 (302 bb)
BB: $10.56 (105.6 bb)
UTG: $10.30 (103 bb)
MP: $5.46 (54.6 bb)
CO: $10.40 (104 bb)
BTN: $27.84 (278.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♦: A♣:
UTG folds, MP calls $0.10, CO raises to $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, Hero raises to $1.80, 2 folds, CO calls $1.40, BTN calls $1.40

Flop: ($5.60) K♥: 8♣: 9♦: (3 players)
Hero bets $2.90, CO folds, BTN calls $2.90

Turn: ($11.40) 4♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $6.10, BTN calls $6.10

River: ($23.60) 3♣: (2 players)
Hero :f_o: :f_confused:

The BU is the best reg on stakes, 27/22, 3Bet 10, fold vs 3Bet 44. AFQ F49, T46 R32.
I have no idea how to play this R? I won't get called by anything worse, x/f seems weak, x/c seems like an overplay that deep.


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5 replies
DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

You are so deep. Eeek.
x/f after betting 6$ on the turn aint an option.
if we think about his range, it's pretty much 10Js and AK. Perhaps 76s. Id expect a raise from a set at least by the turn (although slowplaying from him here wouldn't be bad at all).
So according to that range, x/c seems like the best option for us. If we bet we get his air to fold that he might of turned into a bluff.


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lfcmichael
Joined: 30.10.2016

Given that hero’s range includes KK, villain might prefer to play a lower set passively when in position. Is TPTK good for 3 streets of value against the best reg on the stakes?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think check folding can still be an option. After this action I don't think he has that many missed draws left in his range that he would turn into a bluff. You have showed some strength also so I guess he is checking behind with many of his hands.
Bet folding can be an option too. He ain't going to raise you as a bluff, and that way you get to decide what the bet size is going to be, I would go with a smaller sizing.
Check calling is the worst option imo. Because I don't think he is going to bet with a weaker value hand that often and don't see that many bluff hands in his range. I would hate to check and see a jam from villain

It is a tough spot. I played with Snowie to see what it thinks. OTT it would actually prefer checking, and I think it makes sense. We might not want to 3 barrel this hand. If we check the turn and villain checks behind we have a bet OTR. If villain bets we can check call and then check/decide OTR.
On the river it looks like we have several decent options. Snowie would mostly check this hand, but betting 25%pot has similar EV (it would check/bet with 80/20 ratio).

Snowie would check call or bet call this. But we have to keep in mind that the recommended action is against "optimal" villain. Because of the reasons I said above, I think bet/calling would be bad. And not super thrilled about check calling either.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

I was alternatively thinking what about a small turn bet.
If he has a set and we bet 4$, it'd keep him more honest as i'd expect to see a raise. This would also keep the pot small on the river and make it easier for us to x/c or bet ourself.

Definitely a tough one, but not a common spot. So lets not get TOO caught up :f_cool:


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

A very tough spot, indeed. The move that has the most sense to me is betting like 25% of the pot and fold vs a raise. It sucks that our pot odds to call would be just ~20%, but in reality, I don't think we will have it. He probably doesn't have that many busted draws at that point (because of all the action) and even though he is a good reg, I think he would be scared to bluff that deep.


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