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AQo ~ Commited vs shortie?

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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 114.8 BB (VPIP: 15.96, PFR: 13.83, 3Bet Preflop: 6.82, Hands: 95)
Hero (SB): 109 BB
BB: 140.7 BB (VPIP: 43.75, PFR: 37.50, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 18)
UTG: 77.2 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 2.27, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 44)
MP: 93.9 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 27)
CO: 106.3 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 10.90, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 158)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♠

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, fold, UTG calls 7 BB, fold

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 8♠ A♥ 4♠
Hero bets 12.4 BB, UTG calls 12.4 BB

Turn: (44.3 BB, 2 players) 5♥
Hero bets 21.2 BB, UTG raises to 42.4 BB, Hero raises to 63.6 BB, UTG calls 14.4 BB and is all-in

River: (157.9 BB, 2 players) 8♣

Spoiler

Hero shows Q♣ A♠ (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)
(Pre 44%, Flop 6%, Turn 0%)
UTG shows 8♥ 8♦ (Four of a Kind, Eights)
(Pre 56%, Flop 94%, Turn 100%)
UTG wins 150.8 BB

I think when we bet the turn we're commited. that was the deliberation. I think he'll have draws and Ax that we beat in his range.
Can we get away from this?


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4 replies
Talisker74
Joined: 17.08.2009

Stats from villain look quiete as from a reg...
well he is a bit short, but not really short (77bb)

As an exploit you can fold this hand vs. a raise on turn...
that will be very strong hands most of the time...
Without notes in this case better allways fold, that will save a lot of money to you...


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would most likely Cbet a little bit smaller on the flop. Half pot seems fair enough against a tight passive looking player. Then you invest less with the same result. The turn is for me an easy fold on his raise. It’s most of the time a tell min raise like this with only a few bb left.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Advise from the guys above are solid.
Villain looks tight passive indeed so I wouldn't assume he starts raising you with a draw.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

Yeah I definitely feel I overplayed this one. The thing that threw me off was the fact it's a 3bet pot and we hit TP vs a fishy lookin guy.

So to recap, half pot flop, half pot/f turn?


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