NL4 Shove EV+??

putsh

Joined: 04.01.2008

21.01.2018, 11:04 0

Hello, First sorry for my english is not perfect but the french forum become more dead.
We havent more coach, no coaching nothing more.

So we play nl4 and villain is 27/11/ 3bt 2%. I estimate his range in the flop like this 99+ and I think i have 0% FE. Vesrsus this range i have 43% equity
I'll do EV calculation with this formule EV = (W%*$W) – (L%*$L) become of this site https://redchippoker.com/simple-poker-ev-calculator/

So EV= (0.43*29bb+59bb when villain call)-(0.57*59bb)= +4bb

I have right??

Thank 4 answers

http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/8700377

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3 replies

SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,850

22.01.2018, 10:15 0

I have moved your hand to our hand discussion forum. Then you get faster feedback.
Shoving the flop seems fine to me, but I doubt you have much fold equity when he bets pot size here, I also recommend raising pre-flop a little bit more with the dead blind in middle position.

Cheers,
SDK1987

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la55i

Joined: 27.01.2013

Posts: 8,896

22.01.2018, 12:39 0

There is a small problem. You are risking 73bb when you shove, not 59. This shove is roughly break even, slightly on the negative side. Calculate the rake in and you are losing money with this play.
If you think you can get his stack in very often when you hit your flush OTT, then it is ok to call. Otherwise I would just fold.

Blog :spade: Private Coaching :spade: Website

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putsh

Joined: 04.01.2008

Posts: 1,983

22.01.2018, 18:27 0

Originally posted by la55i
There is a small problem. You are risking 73bb when you shove, not 59. This shove is roughly break even, slightly on the negative side. Calculate the rake in and you are losing money with this play.
If you think you can get his stack in very often when you hit your flush OTT, then it is ok to call. Otherwise I would just fold.

Argghhh nice view i've completely forget to get his bet OTF.

Thx.

Also I like a lot your strategic vidéo.

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