Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Facing T AI raise on paired board

5 Posts
3 Users
3 Reactions
330 Views
bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

Villain is unknown, but does not have a full stack and he limps PF, therefore one has to assume it is a rec player.

On the flop I am in great shape. Of course I can be against a set, but I want to get value, so I bet 2/3

So I assume I am against some Ax, 8x, some pocket pair scared by the A

Turn pairs the board.
My initial thought was that I do not want to chase away any pocket pairs, I do not want to isolate myself against 8x.

Therefore I bet small. Probably I had not noticed yet the small stack I was playing against.

When I saw the shove I realized I am getting pretty good odds, roughly 35%. I tanked and called, thinking that it should be profitable vs 8x + some random junk. I am pretty sure I would have folded if had a full stack

Looking back - vs. 8x (89 combos) I have only 20%, but if I add indeed just a little bit of junk (additional 20 hands) I am getting my 36%.

Any comment?

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.71 (66.9 bb)
Hero (BB): $25.89 (161.8 bb)
UTG: $8.25 (51.6 bb)
MP: $27.55 (172.2 bb)
CO: $14.71 (91.9 bb)
BTN: $9.95 (62.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♥: 6♥:
3 folds, BTN calls $0.16, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.72, BTN calls $0.56

Flop: ($1.52) 8♥: A♣: 2♥: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.97, BTN calls $0.97

Turn: ($3.46) 8♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.28, BTN raises to $8.26 and is all-in,

Hero calls ?????


Reply
Quote
4 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think it is close. You know that you need 35% equity to break even (preferably a bit more than that because there is rake). Then you just try to figure out a reasonable range for villain. Limp call can be pretty much anything but I would take some of the weakest 8Xo hands out because those are not so common. Then I would probably add a decent amount of AX hands in his range, and 22. And when you put some bluffs in his range I would try to keep it realistic, probably don't add just total air. Lower flush draws he might play that way or some pocket pairs. Villain is recreational but it doesn't mean he hates money. You iso-raised pre and double barreled = you look very strong to him.


Reply
Quote
Varune
Joined: 24.04.2009

1) "if i only add a little bit of junk" with that thoughprocess i could justify any hand i play.

We don't have alot of 8x in our range and this hand is perfect to check call. Furthermore when we do bet we mostly are valuetowning ourselves; He'll call better aces, probably raise 8x and fold worse pairs. Hence a x/c is best.


Reply
Quote
bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

Thanks for the responses

Originally posted by Varune
1) "if i only add a little bit of junk" with that thoughprocess i could justify any hand i play.

Agreed. But when I mean junk, I do not only mean random stuff", but also legit hands I dominate, here another flush draw, weaker A etc.

We don't have alot of 8x in our range and this hand is perfect to check call. Furthermore when we do bet we mostly are valuetowning ourselves; He'll call better aces, probably raise 8x and fold worse pairs. Hence a x/c is best.

I totally agree with this. Much better than the small bet I made.


Reply
Quote
bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

BTW turned out villain had less than air: QJo


Reply
Quote