Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

smart or dumb move?

4 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
297 Views
LacsapR
Joined: 14.07.2011

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $6.96 (139.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $5 (100 bb)
MP: $5.72 (114.4 bb)
CO: $2.69 (53.8 bb)
BTN: $9.95 (199 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q♣: K♦:
UTG raises to $0.14, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.14, SB folds, Hero calls $0.09

First of all, I marked BU as weak player.
I often go for a squeeze here - but I mix in some calls, what I did here. would you squeeze 100%?

Flop: ($0.44) J♣: A♥: Q♥: (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.31, BTN calls $0.31, Hero calls $0.31

standard here I guess

Turn: ($1.37) K♣: (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets $2.15, Hero raises to $4.55 and is all-in, UTG folds, BTN calls $2.40

now....does it get smart or totally dumb?
I know that this kiind of overbet is strong most of the time. But I marked this guy as a fish and I saw them sometimes bluffing to pretend they are strong showing this move and overbet.
For sure if he has something here then a 10 and a straight. But still we could make a Full House or a split pot with another 10. Do we have fold equity? If I'm right with my thoughts that he bluffs here, yes. He could still have a flush draw or under-pocket pair.
The point that there is also a 3rd player in play makes the move pretty stupid I guess.

Thoughts?

River: ($10.47) 7♦: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$10.47 pot ($0.43 rake)
Final Board: J♣: A♥: Q♥: K♣: 7♦:
Hero showed Q♣: K♦: and lost (-$5 net)
UTG mucked and lost (-$0.45 net)
BTN showed T♣: A♦: and won $10.04 ($5.04 net)


Reply
Quote
3 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yea I would squeeze this every time.
Turn looks tough. I'm not thrilled to call but not sure if raising is that good either. There are some better 2pair hands and straights and if he has one of those we don't have many outs. I also don't think you have much fold equity here. Then I'm a bit scared of UTG also, this board should hit his range well and he might check the turn because 1) he has a strong hand and blocks some draws with a hand like AcTx or 2) he could have a set but is a bit scared because now any T makes a straight but he still might not be able to let it go.


Reply
Quote
GridironAssassin
Joined: 19.12.2014

The only feasible hand that you are ahead of on the flop is AK. AA KK QQ JJ all have you crushed on the flop. On the turn 1010 and KK get there. You are drawing to four outs (Other two K’s and other two Q’s). I am folding turn and not even thinking twice about it.

Squeeze pre is interesting and I could get on board with it. Obv more worried about utg than btn. What type of size? .50??? .55?????


Reply
Quote
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

maybe if you had AK or a set you could consider. your hand is so bad, this is not ok


Reply
Quote