MP1 is an aggrofish with stats VPIP 73 PFR 39 3bet 28.1. over 100 hands. had a couple of hands with him before where he drew his hand on a FD board with a standard line: small blocking bet /call a huge RR flop and turn, the river with missed draw - check/fold
BTN is a tag with stats VPIP 18 PFR 14 3bet 2.4 over 1.1k hands.
at the turn I got more concerned about the maniac than the tag (crying call or just drawing nuts) and actually was suspicious of the flush considering maniacs line and history. So my option was in fact between a shove or fold. I was more inclined to shove but on second thoughts his line was quite dangerous. Is it +EV shoving the turn at such a spot in the long run?
Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $3.16 (63.2 bb)
BB: $4.71 (94.2 bb)
UTG+1: $5.42 (108.4 bb)
UTG+2: $5 (100 bb)
MP1: $10.85 (217 bb)
MP2: $5.24 (104.8 bb)
MP3: $5 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $6.97 (139.4 bb)
BTN: $5.45 (109 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 8♦: 9♦:
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN raises to $0.35, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.20
Flop: ($1.12) Q♥: 3♦: 4♦: (3 players)
MP1 bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20
Turn: ($1.72) 7♦: (3 players)
MP1 bets $0.20, Hero raises to $1.20, BTN calls $1.20, MP1 raises to $2.20
Hero?