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AQ turn bet or cb?

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ToddBrunson
Joined: 23.05.2010

I think he hit every over pair and top pair the turn especially drawheavy board. I didn't see made a mistake. I must bet because lot of draws. Stats: 20/14, wtsd 41%, wonsd 56%. I think he played was not so good.

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

SB: $6.22 (124.4 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $9.56 (191.2 bb)
MP1: $1.88 (37.6 bb)
MP2: $5.01 (100.2 bb)
MP3: $5 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $5 (100 bb)
BTN: $1.69 (33.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♠: Q♥:
UTG+2 raises to $0.20, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.20, BTN folds, SB calls $0.18, BB folds

Flop: ($0.65) J♠: Q♦: 4♠: (3 players)
SB checks, UTG+2 bets $0.47, Hero calls $0.47, SB folds

Turn: ($1.59) 8♣: (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $0.76, UTG+2 calls $0.76

River: ($3.11) 5♥: (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

Results:

Spoiler

$3.11 pot ($0.13 rake)
Final Board: J♠: Q♦: 4♠: 8♣: 5♥:
UTG+2 showed K♠: K♥: and won $2.98 ($1.55 net)
Hero mucked A♠: Q♥: and lost (-$1.43 net)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I think you played it well. Value betting the river seems to thin, but if you was dealing against a fishier villain I would do it.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

When you give certain stats, you should be telling the hand sample too!


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I think we can bet the turn bigger because it's likelly that we have the best hand and that villain has a hand that he is not villing to fold easily, we can get more value vs KQ, QTs and flushdraws (maybe AT and AK). Everything else he will probably fold no matter the size. River is a blank and we probably still have the best hand, but the value bet would be thin. Imo that just means we would have to make a smaller bet, so I would bet something like 1/3 and fold if he raises because I don't expect this villain at this limit to turn his draws into a bluff often enough, neighter I expect him to value raise TPGK. Given that he doesn't go to showdowns too often and wins 56% of them, we can also skip the river bet, I don't think it's that important.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Overall I think it is well played but I do agree with Alleen about the bet sizing OTT. It could be bigger. And usually I'm not a fan of thin value bets IP OTR but in this case villain looks tight and has seen a lot of showdowns so I think the risk of him raising with a weaker hand is small.


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