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[Closed] NL10 13 outs on turn

4 Posts
4 Users
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Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$7,71:198/29 /17 /1,0/41 /18 /67 /53 ;Hero$14,86:///////;[/tg]
0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BU with J♠, T♠
2 folds, Hero raises to $0,40, SB folds, BB calls $0,30.

Flop: ($0,85) 6♠, 7♠, A♦ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0,60, BB raises to $1,20, Hero calls $0,60.

Turn: ($3,25) 9♦ (2 players)
BB bets $1,62, Hero calls $1,62.

River: ($6,49) 8♦ (2 players)
BB bets $1,62, Hero raises to $11,64 (All-In), BB raises to $4,49 (All-In).

Final Pot: $22,62

Good or bad?


3 replies
Jaissica
Joined: 10.02.2009

Good. With 13 nut outs (im going to assume BB is AK-AJ from their bet pattern) you are a 2.5-1 dog to win the pot (13 cards help you, 32 help him, 1-2.5), but you are getting 3-1 odds on that call.

Villain needed to protect-bet bigger (even 2/3rds pot would have put you just under drawing odds) but was possibly a little scared... id say AQ/AJ.

Consider meaasuring your all-in bets. Some players can be scared away by an $11 shove when they only have $4.50 to call but would call a $4.50 raise with their entire stack, even though its illogical. Shove by betting only what they can meet.


I would give him AK-AT as he only checked the pot, I don't think he had two diamonds because he wouldn't reraise you on that, he might have slowrolled two spades but I doubt it as he would have folded the river then. Another possibility would be for him to have TT, but I don't think he would reraise you with that. So let's put him on AK-AT. In this case, You've played pretty much correct as you were waiting for a flush. On river, as he raised, I think he'd have AT or something. So I guess you've made the right decision :).


darkonebg
Joined: 17.01.2008

nh.
priced to call.