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AA facing CR on Turn

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bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

Villain is 28/11 over 18 hands and does not have a full stack
On the turn I feel that the CR is not big enough to be for value and there are a TON of draws out there hoping to improve.
The river is a blank for everything but JJ, so given the reasoning above this should be a clear call.

what do you think?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $6.99 (69.9 bb)
BB: $9.45 (94.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $11.30 (113 bb)
BTN: $10.72 (107.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♠: A♦:
Hero raises to $0.25, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.55) 5♦: 3♦: 2♠: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BB calls $0.35

Turn: ($1.25) 8♠: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, BB raises to $1.40, Hero calls $0.80

River: ($4.05) J♥: (2 players)
BB bets $2.40, Hero ??


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4 replies
wombat1
Joined: 19.02.2008

Since villain is so to say unknown, its mostly playing guessing games.
With his C/R on the Turn his value range contains 22, 33, 55, 88, A4 and maybe 85 suited.
But as you already said, there are tons of draws out there. So he can be doing this with a semibluff or in microstakes even with nothing (Thinking you are bluffing him).
On the River if you call you need to be right 37% of the time.

I would find a call here.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

His stats look fishy and not full stacked isn’t a sign of a good player as well. If you think he could semi bluff a lot on the turn I would go for it and shove for value and protection, but most of the time it looks like a made hand and I would even consider folding this hand. He can easy have a set or something.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Dandiiik
Joined: 19.07.2009

Without further information, my heart would hurt so much but I would find a fold OTT. Sure there are many draws but:

1) You block both nut flush draws which reduces his semibluff range quite a lot. He does not seem to be such a huge calling station so far and therefore I would narrow down his range a lot.
2) x/r on microstakes, especially on Turn is an extremely strong move in general and I would simply believe him and fold without any solid piece of info that he can do that as a bluff.

But I am curious about what villain had :f_drink:


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Talisker74
Joined: 17.08.2009

It is an exploitative fold on the turn.
Mostly c/r is for value only at this limit

You are beat to lots of hands
Sets straights and Twopair holdings


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