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(FR) JTs - "monster" draw OTF and IP

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

The sample size is small, but I recall those players being involved on most of the hands so far.
I think I got lucky here, but I need to check with you if I really played this correctly or not.

$0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players

BB: 63.5 BB (VPIP: 18.74, PFR: 8.17, 3Bet Preflop: 2.51, Hands: 750)
UTG: 47 BB (VPIP: 12.23, PFR: 10.86, 3Bet Preflop: 5.41, Hands: 953)
UTG+1: 96 BB (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
MP: 106 BB (VPIP: 14.73, PFR: 7.44, 3Bet Preflop: 3.09, Hands: 1,560)
MP+1: 192 BB (VPIP: 59.52, PFR: 2.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 42)
CO: 85 BB (VPIP: 92.00, PFR: 32.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 25)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 106.5 BB (VPIP: 20.78, PFR: 12.99, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 78)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♣ J♣
Thoughts:

Spoiler

I was almost certain that the MP or another player would call along and give me good odds to play that hand IP. There wasn't a big squeezer to play after me.

fold, fold, MP calls 1 BB, MP+1 calls 1 BB, CO raises to 5.5 BB, Hero calls 5.5 BB, fold, fold, MP calls 4.5 BB, MP+1 calls 4.5 BB

Flop: (23.5 BB, 4 players) K♣ Q♠ 5♣
Thoughts:

Spoiler

I'm not sure how much I really think when I have a monster draw...
I thought the aggressor could have AA-QQ and a lot of Ax, Kx, Qx combos.
I didn't want to isolate myself with the aggressor, so I called hoping the other loose player would come along.

MP checks, MP+1 checks, CO bets 23.5 BB, Hero calls 23.5 BB, fold, MP+1 calls 23.5 BB

Turn: (94 BB, 3 players) A♦
Thoughts:

Spoiler

At this point, I didn't want to see any club OTR, because I realized I could be behind with a J-high flush
(should've I thought this OTF ?),
so I raised for value.

MP+1 checks, CO bets 56 BB and is all-in, Hero raises to 71 BB and is all-in, MP+1 calls 71 BB

River: (292 BB, 3 players) 7♦

Spoiler

MP+1 shows K♥ A♠ (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)

Main Pot [262 BB]: (Pre 46%, Flop 51%, Turn 7%)
Side Pot#1 [30 BB]: (Pre 59%, Flop 52%, Turn 7%)

CO shows A♣ 8♣ (One Pair, Aces)

Main Pot [262 BB]: (Pre 18%, Flop 31%, Turn 17%)

Hero shows T♣ J♣ (Straight, Ace High)

Main Pot [262 BB]: (Pre 35%, Flop 18%, Turn 76%)
Side Pot#1 [30 BB]: (Pre 41%, Flop 48%, Turn 93%)

Hero wins 246 BB
Hero wins 28 BB


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

The flop seems the most interesting spot here, because the rest of the hand seems standard.
I think the call on his pot size bet is marginal, but with so many outs it’s not too bad. Especially with still some fishy players behind you as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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MrQNo
Joined: 30.09.2006

pf: Family pot. That’s where JTs belongs if the prize is not too high. Of course call.

Flop: 6 clean outs for the OESD, 9 outs for the flush. But they are tainted, you are not drawing to the nuts. Let’s discount the outs to 7,5. 13,5 outs : 33,5 bad cards (the backdoor 2pair or set draw is neglected) or 1:2,48. You get 1:2, but there is still a station behind you. You have implied odds for the straight, but a club might kill the action. Call.

Turn: Same. 13,5 outs, 1:2,48, you are committed, even with a fold of the fish you get 1:2,67. Push. In most cases, you will loose, but EV overall is positive.


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