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[SH] KJs SBvsUTG 3bet PF on river only Check/Call?

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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

Here on river is CC better yes?
PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 74 BB (VPIP: 17.74, PFR: 8.06, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 64)
UTG: 75 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
CO: 112.5 BB (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 14.04, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 60)
BTN: 135.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 66.67, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 14)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♥ K♥

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 6 BB, fold, UTG calls 4 BB

Flop: (13 BB, 2 players) T♠ 5♥ 7♣
Hero bets 6.5 BB, UTG calls 6.5 BB

Turn: (26 BB, 2 players) 7♥
Hero checks, UTG bets 12.5 BB, Hero calls 12.5 BB

River: (51 BB, 2 players) J♣
Hero bets 16 BB, UTG raises to 32 BB, Hero calls 16 BB

Spoiler

UTG shows K♦ 7♦ (Three of a Kind, Sevens)
(Pre 30%, Flop 78%, Turn 82%)
Hero mucks J♥ K♥ (Two Pair, Jacks and Sevens)
(Pre 70%, Flop 22%, Turn 18%)
UTG wins 111 BB


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5 replies
DannyHorsley
Joined: 03.12.2014

[I did not read the spoiler]

Bet OTF is good. We have BDFD, two overcards and some SD potential.

OTT we improve to a FD so we can definitely fire a second barrel.

OTR I would check/call a small bet.

As played, you bet OTR and villain reraises. I think we’re okay to fold here with K high.


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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

Originally posted by DannyHorsley
[I did not read the spoiler]

Bet OTF is good. We have BDFD, two overcards and some SD potential.

OTT we improve to a FD so we can definitely fire a second barrel.

OTR I would check/call a small bet.

As played, you bet OTR and villain reraises. I think we’re okay to fold here with K high.

Thank you for analyze on river we have Pairs of Jacks with Kicker K
On turn i think we cant bet because full house is possible and our FD can be dead :)
For this reason i goes C/C and on river i want value from Tx or JQ, JT for this reason i bet and he minraise me...


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DannyHorsley
Joined: 03.12.2014

Ah sorry I missed the J. Yeah I think we’re okay to bet here, however call OTR is tricky. I think villain is playing 7x very clearly so when he reraises, the J clearly doesn’t scare villain.
You have 16Bb left to call to win 51BB. Good odds but we can also fold.

Originally posted by filip212

On turn i think we cant bet because full house is possible and our FD can be dead :)

In this scenario we wouldn’t have likely got a fold from opponent but a second barrel is still usually good for two reasons. 1) villain is calling a lot OTF: overcards, weak pairs, BDFD, SD’s. He’s likely going to be rerarising sets or overpairs, though he may want to slow play on this board. 2) even if we are best OTF, we can get some added value on the river if we do hit our flush. Implied odds are huge in this case.

Yeah a full house is possible but I think it’s fairly passive to think this way. Actually paired boards are usually great boards to cbet or fire two barrels. If opponent calls OTT we can check/fold or check/call OTR


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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

You are wrong we have to call 16BB to win 99BB = pot odds 16,18% more than 1:5
I will think about it.


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xiaohetao
Joined: 29.05.2018

A 2nd barrel is needed ott.

Otr, your bet size was too small with back door tp. You can't really tell if some fish players were bluffing with a mini raise. I prefer to bet 1/2+ pot / fold if get raised.


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