I understand we have around 11.8% chance of flopping a set.
But what if:
- Hero 88
- Villan ??
Flop K 9 3 rainbow- Villain checks, if Hero checks behind
-What's the % of time a 8 will come by turn ?
With this in mind, second question is:
-Whats the total % of flop + turn (4 cards) that make you a set if you deliberated aim for a free card on certain flops ?
The change you hit a 8 is 2 of the 47 remaining cards on the turn. That's only 4,26% of the time.
On the river it would be 2 of the 46 remaining cards. That's 4,35%. That means you hit in less than 10% of the time a set on turn and river.
I expect this helps a little bit, but if you have more questions don't hesitate to ask them.
Cheers,
SDK1987
-Whats the total % of flop + turn (4 cards) that make you a set if you deliberated aim for a free card on certain flops ?
P(hit a flop OTF or no hit OTF and hit OTT) = 0.118+(0,882*0,0435)=0.156 = 15.6%
